What was the score of Bahia vs Mirassol?

Bahia 1 x 0 Mirassol, Sunday, October 11, at Arena Fonte Nova, in the Série A 2026.

Bahia 1 x 0 Mirassol: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 30

Bahia

Home

1 × 0

Mirassol

Away

Sunday, October 11 · 07:30 PMArena Fonte Nova

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Bahia win55.8%

Draw28.8%

Mirassol win15.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals36.3%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Bahia beat Mirassol 1 to 0 at home, Sunday, October 11, at Arena Fonte Nova and in the Série A 2026.

Bahia had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 14 to 7, and corners were 6 to 2.

Bahia arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Mirassol arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Bahia, 1 for Mirassol and 1 draw.

Match statistics

53%Possession47%

2On target2

14Shots7

6Corners2

13Fouls16

1Offsides1

2Saves1

1Yellow cards4

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Bahia win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

BahiaLLWWW

Bahia's last matches
10/08	Palmeiras 1x0 Bahia
09/20	Athletico PR 2x1 Bahia
09/14	Bahia 2x1 Remo
09/05	Bragantino 2x3 Bahia
08/30	Bahia 3x2 Internacional

MirassolDWDWL

Mirassol's last matches
10/07	Bragantino 1x1 Mirassol
09/19	Mirassol 2x0 Botafogo
09/13	Mirassol 2x2 Vitória
09/06	Coritiba 1x2 Mirassol
09/02	Flamengo 2x0 Mirassol

Head-to-head

Last matches between Bahia and Mirassol
04/11/2026	Mirassol 1x2 Bahia
08/31/2025	Mirassol 5x1 Bahia
04/13/2025	Bahia 1x1 Mirassol

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 30

Frequently asked questions about Bahia vs Mirassol

What was the score of Bahia vs Mirassol?: Bahia 1 x 0 Mirassol, Sunday, October 11, at Arena Fonte Nova, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Bahia vs Mirassol?: The model pointed to a Bahia win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Bahia vs Mirassol?: Bahia had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 14 to 7, and corners were 6 to 2.
How did Bahia and Mirassol arrive for this match?: Bahia arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Mirassol arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Bahia, 1 for Mirassol and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.