What was the score of São Paulo vs Vitória?

São Paulo 2 x 1 Vitória, Saturday, October 10, at Estádio Nicolau Alayon, in the Série A 2026.

São Paulo 2 x 1 Vitória: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 30

São Paulo

Home

2 × 1

Vitória

Away

Saturday, October 10 · 09:00 PMEstádio Nicolau Alayon

What the model calculated before the match

Result

São Paulo win42.4%

Draw35.4%

Vitória win22.1%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals23.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

São Paulo beat Vitória 2 to 1 at home, Saturday, October 10, at Estádio Nicolau Alayon and in the Série A 2026.

São Paulo had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 15 to 10, and corners were 6 to 2.

São Paulo arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Vitória arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for São Paulo, 2 for Vitória and 0 draws.

Match statistics

54%Possession46%

6On target2

15Shots10

6Corners2

13Fouls13

1Saves4

5Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a São Paulo win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

São PauloLLWLW

São Paulo's last matches
10/07	Cruzeiro 2x0 São Paulo
10/02	São Paulo 1x2 Santos
09/19	São Paulo 1x0 Internacional
09/12	Palmeiras 2x0 São Paulo
09/05	São Paulo 2x0 Atlético Mineiro

VitóriaWLDWL

Vitória's last matches
10/07	Vitória 4x0 Chapecoense
09/20	Vitória 1x3 Cruzeiro
09/13	Mirassol 2x2 Vitória
09/07	Vitória 1x0 Grêmio
09/02	Vitória 0x2 Vasco da Gama

Head-to-head

Last matches between São Paulo and Vitória
04/11/2026	Vitória 2x0 São Paulo
12/07/2025	Vitória 1x0 São Paulo
05/05/2024	Vitória 1x3 São Paulo

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 30

Frequently asked questions about São Paulo vs Vitória

What was the score of São Paulo vs Vitória?: São Paulo 2 x 1 Vitória, Saturday, October 10, at Estádio Nicolau Alayon, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for São Paulo vs Vitória?: The model pointed to a São Paulo win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for São Paulo vs Vitória?: São Paulo had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 15 to 10, and corners were 6 to 2.
How did São Paulo and Vitória arrive for this match?: São Paulo arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Vitória arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for São Paulo, 2 for Vitória and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.