Coritiba 1 x 1 Botafogo: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 30

Coritiba

Home

1 × 1

Botafogo

Away

Monday, October 12 · 04:00 PMEstádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Coritiba win41.5%

Draw36.6%

Botafogo win21.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals45.4%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Coritiba and Botafogo drew 1 to 1, Monday, October 12, at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira and in the Série A 2026.

Botafogo had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 7 to 15, and corners were 8 to 7.

Coritiba arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Botafogo arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Botafogo 2 x 2 Coritiba.

Match statistics

44%Possession56%

3On target5

7Shots15

8Corners7

16Fouls13

2Offsides0

4Saves3

5Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Coritiba win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CoritibaLLDLW

Coritiba's last matches
10/08	Fluminense 4x0 Coritiba
09/19	Vasco da Gama 5x0 Coritiba
09/11	Coritiba 3x3 Athletico PR
09/06	Coritiba 1x2 Mirassol
08/31	Remo 2x3 Coritiba

BotafogoLLWDD

Botafogo's last matches
10/07	Botafogo 1x2 Vasco da Gama
09/19	Mirassol 2x0 Botafogo
09/16	Botafogo 3x2 Grêmio
09/12	Botafogo 1x1 Bragantino
09/06	Botafogo 0x0 Palmeiras

Head-to-head

Last matches between Coritiba and Botafogo
04/12/2026	Botafogo 2x2 Coritiba

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 30

Frequently asked questions about Coritiba vs Botafogo

What was the score of Coritiba vs Botafogo?: Coritiba 1 x 1 Botafogo, Monday, October 12, at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Botafogo?: The model pointed to a Coritiba win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Coritiba vs Botafogo?: Botafogo had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 7 to 15, and corners were 8 to 7.
How did Coritiba and Botafogo arrive for this match?: Coritiba arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Botafogo arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Botafogo 2 x 2 Coritiba.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.