Flamengo 1 x 0 Fluminense: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 30

Flamengo

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1 × 0

Fluminense

Away

Sunday, October 11 · 05:30 PMEstadio Jornalista Mário Filho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Flamengo win49.9%

Draw31.2%

Fluminense win19.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals42.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Flamengo beat Fluminense 1 to 0 at home, Sunday, October 11, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho and in the Série A 2026.

Fluminense had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 13 to 8, and corners were 4 to 2.

Flamengo arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points). Fluminense arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Flamengo, 1 for Fluminense and 0 draws.

Match statistics

43%Possession57%

6On target4

13Shots8

4Corners2

21Fouls18

4Saves5

3Yellow cards5

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Flamengo win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

FlamengoDWDWW

Flamengo's last matches
10/08	Santos 2x2 Flamengo
09/20	Flamengo 2x1 Bragantino
09/17	Flamengo 1x1 Independiente del Valle
09/13	Flamengo 2x1 Corinthians
09/10	Independiente del Valle 0x2 Flamengo

FluminenseWWLLW

Fluminense's last matches
10/08	Fluminense 4x0 Coritiba
09/20	Corinthians 1x3 Fluminense
09/15	Platense 2x1 Fluminense
09/12	Atlético Mineiro 3x1 Fluminense
09/08	Fluminense 2x0 Platense

Head-to-head

Last matches between Flamengo and Fluminense
04/12/2026	Fluminense 1x2 Flamengo
11/19/2025	Fluminense 2x1 Flamengo

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 30

Frequently asked questions about Flamengo vs Fluminense

What was the score of Flamengo vs Fluminense?: Flamengo 1 x 0 Fluminense, Sunday, October 11, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Fluminense?: The model pointed to a Flamengo win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Flamengo vs Fluminense?: Fluminense had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 13 to 8, and corners were 4 to 2.
How did Flamengo and Fluminense arrive for this match?: Flamengo arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points). Fluminense arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Flamengo, 1 for Fluminense and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.