What was the score of Palmeiras vs Corinthians?

Palmeiras 4 x 1 Corinthians, Sunday, October 11, at Allianz Parque, in the Série A 2026.

Palmeiras 4 x 1 Corinthians: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 30

Palmeiras

Home

4 × 1

Corinthians

Away

Sunday, October 11 · 05:30 PMAllianz Parque

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Palmeiras win59.4%

Draw31.0%

Corinthians win9.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals22.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Palmeiras beat Corinthians 4 to 1 at home, Sunday, October 11, at Allianz Parque and in the Série A 2026.

Palmeiras had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 16 to 9, and corners were 7 to 3.

Palmeiras arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Corinthians arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points).

In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Palmeiras, 2 for Corinthians and 2 draws.

Match statistics

55%Possession45%

8On target3

16Shots9

7Corners3

17Fouls11

2Offsides1

2Saves5

3Yellow cards4

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Palmeiras win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

PalmeirasWDLWW

Palmeiras's last matches
10/08	Palmeiras 1x0 Bahia
09/20	Grêmio 0x0 Palmeiras
09/16	LDU Quito 3x2 Palmeiras
09/12	Palmeiras 2x0 São Paulo
09/09	Palmeiras 1x0 LDU Quito

CorinthiansLLLLD

Corinthians's last matches
10/07	Internacional 2x1 Corinthians
09/20	Corinthians 1x3 Fluminense
09/16	Corinthians 0x1 Estudiantes
09/13	Flamengo 2x1 Corinthians
09/09	Estudiantes 1x1 Corinthians

Head-to-head

Last matches between Palmeiras and Corinthians
04/12/2026	Corinthians 0x0 Palmeiras
08/31/2025	Corinthians 1x1 Palmeiras
08/06/2025	Palmeiras 0x2 Corinthians
07/30/2025	Corinthians 1x0 Palmeiras

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Create free account I already have an account

Other matches in round 30

Frequently asked questions about Palmeiras vs Corinthians

What was the score of Palmeiras vs Corinthians?: Palmeiras 4 x 1 Corinthians, Sunday, October 11, at Allianz Parque, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Corinthians?: The model pointed to a Palmeiras win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Palmeiras vs Corinthians?: Palmeiras had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 16 to 9, and corners were 7 to 3.
How did Palmeiras and Corinthians arrive for this match?: Palmeiras arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Corinthians arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Palmeiras, 2 for Corinthians and 2 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.