What was the score of Atlético Mineiro vs Santos?

Atlético Mineiro 2 x 1 Santos, Sunday, October 11, at Arena MRV, in the Série A 2026.

Atlético Mineiro 2 x 1 Santos: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 30

Atlético Mineiro

Home

2 × 1

Santos

Away

Sunday, October 11 · 04:00 PMArena MRV

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Atlético Mineiro win44.2%

Draw34.2%

Santos win21.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals38.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Atlético Mineiro beat Santos 2 to 1 at home, Sunday, October 11, at Arena MRV and in the Série A 2026.

Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 17 to 8, and corners were 12 to 3.

Atlético Mineiro arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Santos arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Atlético Mineiro, 2 for Santos and 0 draws.

Match statistics

50%Possession50%

5On target3

17Shots8

12Corners3

10Fouls12

1Offsides3

2Saves4

3Yellow cards5

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Atlético Mineiro win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Atlético MineiroDWDWL

Atlético Mineiro's last matches
10/08	Athletico PR 2x2 Atlético Mineiro
10/03	Atlético Mineiro 1x0 Bragantino
09/19	Atlético Mineiro 1x1 Chapecoense
09/12	Atlético Mineiro 3x1 Fluminense
09/05	São Paulo 2x0 Atlético Mineiro

SantosDWWWW

Santos's last matches
10/08	Santos 2x2 Flamengo
10/02	São Paulo 1x2 Santos
09/19	Remo 1x2 Santos
09/12	Santos 2x1 Cruzeiro
09/06	Internacional 2x3 Santos

Head-to-head

Last matches between Atlético Mineiro and Santos
04/11/2026	Santos 1x0 Atlético Mineiro
04/16/2025	Santos 2x0 Atlético Mineiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 30

Frequently asked questions about Atlético Mineiro vs Santos

What was the score of Atlético Mineiro vs Santos?: Atlético Mineiro 2 x 1 Santos, Sunday, October 11, at Arena MRV, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Atlético Mineiro vs Santos?: The model pointed to a Atlético Mineiro win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Atlético Mineiro vs Santos?: Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 17 to 8, and corners were 12 to 3.
How did Atlético Mineiro and Santos arrive for this match?: Atlético Mineiro arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Santos arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Atlético Mineiro, 2 for Santos and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.