Chapecoense 1 x 4 Athletico PR: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 30

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

Home

1 × 4

Athletico PR

Athletico PR

Away

Arena Condá

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Chapecoense win17.6%
Draw36.0%
Athletico PR win46.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals41.3%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Athletico PR beat Chapecoense 4 to 1 away from home, Monday, October 12, at Arena Condá and in the Série A 2026.

Athletico PR had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 19 to 9, and corners were 6 to 7.

Chapecoense arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Athletico PR arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Athletico PR 2 x 0 Chapecoense.

Chapecoense vs Athletico PR stats

Match statistics
44%Possession56%
7On target8
19Shots9
6Corners7
17Fouls11
1Offsides0
4Saves6
2Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Athletico PR win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

ChapecoenseLDLWL

Chapecoense's last matches
10/07Vitória 4x0 Chapecoense
09/19Atlético Mineiro 1x1 Chapecoense
09/12Chapecoense 1x2 Internacional
09/06Corinthians 1x2 Chapecoense
08/30Grêmio 3x1 Chapecoense

Athletico PRDWDLD

Athletico PR's last matches
10/08Athletico PR 2x2 Atlético Mineiro
09/20Athletico PR 2x1 Bahia
09/11Coritiba 3x3 Athletico PR
09/06Cruzeiro 3x1 Athletico PR
08/30Athletico PR 3x3 Fluminense

Head-to-head

Last matches between Chapecoense and Athletico PR
04/12/2026Athletico PR 2x0 Chapecoense

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 30

Frequently asked questions about Chapecoense vs Athletico PR

What was the score of Chapecoense vs Athletico PR?
Chapecoense 1 x 4 Athletico PR, Monday, October 12, at Arena Condá, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Athletico PR?
The model pointed to a Athletico PR win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Chapecoense vs Athletico PR?
Athletico PR had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 19 to 9, and corners were 6 to 7.
How did Chapecoense and Athletico PR arrive for this match?
Chapecoense arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Athletico PR arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Athletico PR 2 x 0 Chapecoense.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.