Grêmio 1 x 1 Internacional: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 30

Grêmio

Grêmio

Home

1 × 1

Internacional

Internacional

Away

Arena do Grêmio

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Grêmio win36.1%
Draw39.5%
Internacional win24.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals24.2%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Grêmio and Internacional drew 1 to 1, Sunday, October 11, at Arena do Grêmio and in the Série A 2026.

Grêmio had more of the ball (67% possession), shots were 8 to 9, and corners were 6 to 5.

Grêmio arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points). Internacional arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Grêmio, 0 for Internacional and 2 draws.

Grêmio vs Internacional stats

Match statistics
67%Possession33%
3On target3
8Shots9
6Corners5
10Fouls26
2Offsides0
2Saves2
3Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

GrêmioDDLLL

Grêmio's last matches
10/07Remo 1x1 Grêmio
09/20Grêmio 0x0 Palmeiras
09/16Botafogo 3x2 Grêmio
09/12Grêmio 1x2 Vasco da Gama
09/07Vitória 1x0 Grêmio

InternacionalWLWLL

Internacional's last matches
10/07Internacional 2x1 Corinthians
09/19São Paulo 1x0 Internacional
09/12Chapecoense 1x2 Internacional
09/06Internacional 2x3 Santos
09/03Grêmio 3x1 Internacional

Head-to-head

Last matches between Grêmio and Internacional
09/03/2026Grêmio 3x1 Internacional
08/27/2026Internacional 0x0 Grêmio
04/11/2026Internacional 0x0 Grêmio

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 30

Frequently asked questions about Grêmio vs Internacional

What was the score of Grêmio vs Internacional?
Grêmio 1 x 1 Internacional, Sunday, October 11, at Arena do Grêmio, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Grêmio vs Internacional?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Grêmio vs Internacional?
Grêmio had more of the ball (67% possession), shots were 8 to 9, and corners were 6 to 5.
How did Grêmio and Internacional arrive for this match?
Grêmio arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points). Internacional arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Grêmio, 0 for Internacional and 2 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.