Vitória 1 x 3 Cruzeiro: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 28

Vitória

Vitória

Home

1 × 3

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

Away

Estádio Manoel Barradas

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vitória win34.7%
Draw35.9%
Cruzeiro win29.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals32.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Cruzeiro beat Vitória 3 to 1 away from home, Sunday, September 20, at Estádio Manoel Barradas and in the Série A 2026.

Cruzeiro had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 15 to 9, and corners were 8 to 2.

Vitória arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Cruzeiro arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Cruzeiro 3 x 0 Vitória.

Vitória vs Cruzeiro stats

Match statistics
44%Possession56%
8On target5
15Shots9
8Corners2
10Fouls19
4Offsides2
2Saves6
0Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

VitóriaDWLLL

Vitória's last matches
09/13Mirassol 2x2 Vitória
09/07Vitória 1x0 Grêmio
09/02Vitória 0x2 Vasco da Gama
08/29Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Vitória
08/26Vasco da Gama 1x0 Vitória

CruzeiroLWLLD

Cruzeiro's last matches
09/12Santos 2x1 Cruzeiro
09/06Cruzeiro 3x1 Athletico PR
09/01Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Cruzeiro
08/29Vasco da Gama 3x1 Cruzeiro
08/25Cruzeiro 1x1 Atlético Mineiro

Head-to-head

Last matches between Vitória and Cruzeiro
04/01/2026Cruzeiro 3x0 Vitória

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 28

Frequently asked questions about Vitória vs Cruzeiro

What was the score of Vitória vs Cruzeiro?
Vitória 1 x 3 Cruzeiro, Sunday, September 20, at Estádio Manoel Barradas, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Vitória vs Cruzeiro?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Vitória vs Cruzeiro?
Cruzeiro had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 15 to 9, and corners were 8 to 2.
How did Vitória and Cruzeiro arrive for this match?
Vitória arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Cruzeiro arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Cruzeiro 3 x 0 Vitória.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.