What was the score of Athletico PR vs Bahia?

Athletico PR 2 x 1 Bahia, Sunday, September 20, at Arena de Baixada, in the Série A 2026.

Athletico PR 2 x 1 Bahia: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 28

Athletico PR

Home

2 × 1

Bahia

Away

Sunday, September 20 · 07:30 PMArena de Baixada

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Athletico PR win38.5%

Draw40.4%

Bahia win21.1%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals35.9%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Athletico PR beat Bahia 2 to 1 at home, Sunday, September 20, at Arena de Baixada and in the Série A 2026.

Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 10 to 8, and corners were 6 to 3.

Athletico PR arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Bahia arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Bahia 3 x 0 Athletico PR.

Match statistics

50%Possession50%

6On target3

10Shots8

6Corners3

8Fouls13

2Offsides2

2Saves4

3Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Athletico PRDLDWD

Athletico PR's last matches
09/11	Coritiba 3x3 Athletico PR
09/06	Cruzeiro 3x1 Athletico PR
08/30	Athletico PR 3x3 Fluminense
08/24	Botafogo 2x3 Athletico PR
08/15	Athletico PR 1x1 Bragantino

BahiaWWWWD

Bahia's last matches
09/14	Bahia 2x1 Remo
09/05	Bragantino 2x3 Bahia
08/30	Bahia 3x2 Internacional
08/23	Vitória 0x2 Bahia
08/16	Chapecoense 3x3 Bahia

Head-to-head

Last matches between Athletico PR and Bahia
04/01/2026	Bahia 3x0 Athletico PR

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 28

Frequently asked questions about Athletico PR vs Bahia

What was the score of Athletico PR vs Bahia?: Athletico PR 2 x 1 Bahia, Sunday, September 20, at Arena de Baixada, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Athletico PR vs Bahia?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Athletico PR vs Bahia?: Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 10 to 8, and corners were 6 to 3.
How did Athletico PR and Bahia arrive for this match?: Athletico PR arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Bahia arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Bahia 3 x 0 Athletico PR.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.