Corinthians 1 x 3 Fluminense: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 28

Corinthians

Corinthians

Home

1 × 3

Fluminense

Fluminense

Away

Arena Corinthians

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Corinthians win30.1%
Draw40.4%
Fluminense win29.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals26.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Fluminense beat Corinthians 3 to 1 away from home, Sunday, September 20, at Arena Corinthians and in the Série A 2026.

Corinthians had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 13 to 8, and corners were 11 to 1.

Corinthians arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points). Fluminense arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Corinthians, 2 for Fluminense and 0 draws.

Corinthians vs Fluminense stats

Match statistics
57%Possession43%
7On target6
13Shots8
11Corners1
16Fouls21
1Offsides1
3Saves6
3Yellow cards5

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CorinthiansLLDLL

Corinthians's last matches
09/16Corinthians 0x1 Estudiantes
09/13Flamengo 2x1 Corinthians
09/09Estudiantes 1x1 Corinthians
09/06Corinthians 1x2 Chapecoense
08/30Corinthians 0x1 Santos

FluminenseLLWWD

Fluminense's last matches
09/15Platense 2x1 Fluminense
09/12Atlético Mineiro 3x1 Fluminense
09/08Fluminense 2x0 Platense
09/05Fluminense 1x0 Vasco da Gama
08/30Athletico PR 3x3 Fluminense

Head-to-head

Last matches between Corinthians and Fluminense
04/01/2026Fluminense 3x1 Corinthians
09/13/2025Fluminense 0x1 Corinthians
04/16/2025Corinthians 0x2 Fluminense
04/28/2024Corinthians 3x0 Fluminense

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 28

Frequently asked questions about Corinthians vs Fluminense

What was the score of Corinthians vs Fluminense?
Corinthians 1 x 3 Fluminense, Sunday, September 20, at Arena Corinthians, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Fluminense?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Corinthians vs Fluminense?
Corinthians had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 13 to 8, and corners were 11 to 1.
How did Corinthians and Fluminense arrive for this match?
Corinthians arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points). Fluminense arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Corinthians, 2 for Fluminense and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.