São Paulo 1 x 0 Internacional: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 28

São Paulo

São Paulo

Home

1 × 0

Internacional

Internacional

Away

Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

What the model calculated before the match

Result

São Paulo win42.0%
Draw38.1%
Internacional win19.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals20.2%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

São Paulo beat Internacional 1 to 0 at home, Saturday, September 19, at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo and in the Série A 2026.

Internacional had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 3 to 9, and corners were 3 to 3.

São Paulo arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Internacional arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for São Paulo, 0 for Internacional and 1 draw.

São Paulo vs Internacional stats

Match statistics
44%Possession56%
1On target1
3Shots9
3Corners3
15Fouls13
1Offsides5
1Saves0
1Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a São Paulo win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

São PauloLWWLD

São Paulo's last matches
09/12Palmeiras 2x0 São Paulo
09/05São Paulo 2x0 Atlético Mineiro
08/29São Paulo 2x1 Bragantino
08/23Chapecoense 1x0 São Paulo
08/15São Paulo 1x1 Coritiba

InternacionalWLLLD

Internacional's last matches
09/12Chapecoense 1x2 Internacional
09/06Internacional 2x3 Santos
09/03Grêmio 3x1 Internacional
08/30Bahia 3x2 Internacional
08/27Internacional 0x0 Grêmio

Head-to-head

Last matches between São Paulo and Internacional
04/01/2026Internacional 1x1 São Paulo
08/03/2025Internacional 1x2 São Paulo

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 28

Frequently asked questions about São Paulo vs Internacional

What was the score of São Paulo vs Internacional?
São Paulo 1 x 0 Internacional, Saturday, September 19, at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for São Paulo vs Internacional?
The model pointed to a São Paulo win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for São Paulo vs Internacional?
Internacional had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 3 to 9, and corners were 3 to 3.
How did São Paulo and Internacional arrive for this match?
São Paulo arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Internacional arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for São Paulo, 0 for Internacional and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.