Flamengo 2 x 1 Bragantino: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 28

Flamengo

Home

2 × 1

Bragantino

Away

Sunday, September 20 · 06:30 PMEstadio Jornalista Mário Filho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Flamengo win57.6%

Draw31.7%

Bragantino win10.8%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals28.2%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Flamengo beat Bragantino 2 to 1 at home, Sunday, September 20, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho and in the Série A 2026.

Flamengo had more of the ball (66% possession), shots were 10 to 10, and corners were 2 to 5.

Flamengo arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points). Bragantino arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Bragantino 3 x 0 Flamengo.

Match statistics

66%Possession34%

6On target5

10Shots10

2Corners5

9Fouls15

5Offsides0

5Saves4

3Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Flamengo win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

FlamengoDWWWW

Flamengo's last matches
09/17	Flamengo 1x1 Independiente del Valle
09/13	Flamengo 2x1 Corinthians
09/10	Independiente del Valle 0x2 Flamengo
09/06	Remo 0x1 Flamengo
09/02	Flamengo 2x0 Mirassol

BragantinoDLLWD

Bragantino's last matches
09/12	Botafogo 1x1 Bragantino
09/05	Bragantino 2x3 Bahia
08/29	São Paulo 2x1 Bragantino
08/23	Bragantino 1x0 Grêmio
08/15	Athletico PR 1x1 Bragantino

Head-to-head

Last matches between Flamengo and Bragantino
04/02/2026	Bragantino 3x0 Flamengo

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 28

Frequently asked questions about Flamengo vs Bragantino

What was the score of Flamengo vs Bragantino?: Flamengo 2 x 1 Bragantino, Sunday, September 20, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Bragantino?: The model pointed to a Flamengo win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Flamengo vs Bragantino?: Flamengo had more of the ball (66% possession), shots were 10 to 10, and corners were 2 to 5.
How did Flamengo and Bragantino arrive for this match?: Flamengo arrived with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (13 of 15 points). Bragantino arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Bragantino 3 x 0 Flamengo.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.