Vasco da Gama 5 x 0 Coritiba: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 28

Vasco da Gama

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5 × 0

Coritiba

Away

Saturday, September 19 · 08:30 PMEstádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vasco da Gama win34.7%

Draw37.0%

Coritiba win28.2%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals32.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vasco da Gama beat Coritiba 5 to 0 at home, Saturday, September 19, at Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama and in the Série A 2026.

Vasco da Gama had more of the ball (65% possession), shots were 22 to 2, and corners were 12 to 2.

Vasco da Gama arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points). Coritiba arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Coritiba 1 x 1 Vasco da Gama.

Match statistics

65%Possession35%

11On target1

22Shots2

12Corners2

7Fouls8

1Offsides1

1Saves6

1Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Vasco da GamaWLWWW

Vasco da Gama's last matches
09/12	Grêmio 1x2 Vasco da Gama
09/05	Fluminense 1x0 Vasco da Gama
09/02	Vitória 0x2 Vasco da Gama
08/29	Vasco da Gama 3x1 Cruzeiro
08/26	Vasco da Gama 1x0 Vitória

CoritibaDLWWD

Coritiba's last matches
09/11	Coritiba 3x3 Athletico PR
09/06	Coritiba 1x2 Mirassol
08/31	Remo 2x3 Coritiba
08/23	Coritiba 2x1 Corinthians
08/15	São Paulo 1x1 Coritiba

Head-to-head

Last matches between Vasco da Gama and Coritiba
04/01/2026	Coritiba 1x1 Vasco da Gama

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 28

Frequently asked questions about Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba

What was the score of Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba?: Vasco da Gama 5 x 0 Coritiba, Saturday, September 19, at Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba?: Vasco da Gama had more of the ball (65% possession), shots were 22 to 2, and corners were 12 to 2.
How did Vasco da Gama and Coritiba arrive for this match?: Vasco da Gama arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points). Coritiba arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Coritiba 1 x 1 Vasco da Gama.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.