Mirassol 2 x 0 Botafogo: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 28

Mirassol

Home

2 × 0

Botafogo

Away

Saturday, September 19 · 05:00 PMEstádio José Maria de Campos Maia

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Mirassol win34.7%

Draw36.8%

Botafogo win28.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals38.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Mirassol beat Botafogo 2 to 0 at home, Saturday, September 19, at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia and in the Série A 2026.

Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 11 to 9, and corners were 3 to 4.

Mirassol arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Botafogo arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Mirassol, 1 for Botafogo and 1 draw.

Match statistics

50%Possession50%

7On target5

11Shots9

3Corners4

8Fouls7

0Offsides1

5Saves5

0Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

MirassolDWLDD

Mirassol's last matches
09/13	Mirassol 2x2 Vitória
09/06	Coritiba 1x2 Mirassol
09/02	Flamengo 2x0 Mirassol
08/30	Mirassol 1x1 Palmeiras
08/23	Santos 1x1 Mirassol

BotafogoWDDLL

Botafogo's last matches
09/16	Botafogo 3x2 Grêmio
09/12	Botafogo 1x1 Bragantino
09/06	Botafogo 0x0 Palmeiras
08/30	Flamengo 3x0 Botafogo
08/24	Botafogo 2x3 Athletico PR

Head-to-head

Last matches between Mirassol and Botafogo
04/01/2026	Botafogo 3x2 Mirassol
09/17/2025	Botafogo 3x3 Mirassol

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 28

Frequently asked questions about Mirassol vs Botafogo

What was the score of Mirassol vs Botafogo?: Mirassol 2 x 0 Botafogo, Saturday, September 19, at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Mirassol vs Botafogo?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Mirassol vs Botafogo?: Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 11 to 9, and corners were 3 to 4.
How did Mirassol and Botafogo arrive for this match?: Mirassol arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Botafogo arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Mirassol, 1 for Botafogo and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.