What was the score of Atlético Mineiro vs Chapecoense?

Atlético Mineiro 1 x 1 Chapecoense, Saturday, September 19, at Arena MRV, in the Série A 2026.

Atlético Mineiro 1 x 1 Chapecoense: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 28

Atlético Mineiro

Home

1 × 1

Chapecoense

Away

Saturday, September 19 · 04:00 PMArena MRV

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Atlético Mineiro win64.3%

Draw26.1%

Chapecoense win9.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals37.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Atlético Mineiro and Chapecoense drew 1 to 1, Saturday, September 19, at Arena MRV and in the Série A 2026.

Atlético Mineiro had more of the ball (67% possession), shots were 21 to 4, and corners were 10 to 2.

Atlético Mineiro arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Chapecoense arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Chapecoense 0 x 4 Atlético Mineiro.

Match statistics

67%Possession33%

11On target1

21Shots4

10Corners2

11Fouls11

3Offsides0

0Saves8

2Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Atlético Mineiro win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Atlético MineiroWLWWD

Atlético Mineiro's last matches
09/12	Atlético Mineiro 3x1 Fluminense
09/05	São Paulo 2x0 Atlético Mineiro
09/01	Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Cruzeiro
08/29	Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Vitória
08/25	Cruzeiro 1x1 Atlético Mineiro

ChapecoenseLWLWD

Chapecoense's last matches
09/12	Chapecoense 1x2 Internacional
09/06	Corinthians 1x2 Chapecoense
08/30	Grêmio 3x1 Chapecoense
08/23	Chapecoense 1x0 São Paulo
08/16	Chapecoense 3x3 Bahia

Head-to-head

Last matches between Atlético Mineiro and Chapecoense
04/02/2026	Chapecoense 0x4 Atlético Mineiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 28

Frequently asked questions about Atlético Mineiro vs Chapecoense

What was the score of Atlético Mineiro vs Chapecoense?: Atlético Mineiro 1 x 1 Chapecoense, Saturday, September 19, at Arena MRV, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Atlético Mineiro vs Chapecoense?: The model pointed to a Atlético Mineiro win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Atlético Mineiro vs Chapecoense?: Atlético Mineiro had more of the ball (67% possession), shots were 21 to 4, and corners were 10 to 2.
How did Atlético Mineiro and Chapecoense arrive for this match?: Atlético Mineiro arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Chapecoense arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Chapecoense 0 x 4 Atlético Mineiro.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.