Vitória 1 x 0 Botafogo: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 23

Vitória

Vitória

Home

1 × 0

Botafogo

Botafogo

Away

Estádio Manoel Barradas

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vitória win30.0%
Draw43.5%
Botafogo win26.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals36.9%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vitória beat Botafogo 1 to 0 at home, Sunday, August 16, at Estádio Manoel Barradas and in the Série A 2026.

Botafogo had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 16 to 7, and corners were 8 to 4.

Vitória arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Botafogo arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Vitória, 2 for Botafogo and 2 draws.

Vitória vs Botafogo stats

Match statistics
46%Possession54%
4On target3
16Shots7
8Corners4
19Fouls18
5Offsides0
3Saves2
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

VitóriaLWLLL

Vitória's last matches
08/09Flamengo 2x0 Vitória
08/06Vitória 4x0 Athletico PR
08/03Athletico PR 2x0 Vitória
07/29Vitória 0x4 Palmeiras
07/26Remo 2x0 Vitória

BotafogoDWDWL

Botafogo's last matches
08/08Botafogo 1x1 Fluminense
07/26Cruzeiro 0x1 Botafogo
07/23Botafogo 0x0 Vitória
07/16Botafogo 2x1 Santos
05/30Bahia 2x1 Botafogo

Head-to-head

Last matches between Vitória and Botafogo
07/23/2026Botafogo 0x0 Vitória
07/16/2025Botafogo 0x0 Vitória
05/22/2024Vitória 1x2 Botafogo
05/02/2024Botafogo 1x0 Vitória

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 23

Frequently asked questions about Vitória vs Botafogo

What was the score of Vitória vs Botafogo?
Vitória 1 x 0 Botafogo, Sunday, August 16, at Estádio Manoel Barradas, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Vitória vs Botafogo?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Vitória vs Botafogo?
Botafogo had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 16 to 7, and corners were 8 to 4.
How did Vitória and Botafogo arrive for this match?
Vitória arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Botafogo arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Vitória, 2 for Botafogo and 2 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.