Chapecoense 3 x 3 Bahia: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 23

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

Home

3 × 3

Bahia

Bahia

Away

Arena Condá

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Chapecoense win17.1%
Draw39.7%
Bahia win43.2%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals44.4%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Chapecoense and Bahia drew 3 to 3, Sunday, August 16, at Arena Condá and in the Série A 2026.

Bahia had more of the ball (66% possession), shots were 7 to 15, and corners were 3 to 5.

Chapecoense arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Bahia arrived with 1 win and 4 draws in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Bahia 2 x 0 Chapecoense.

Chapecoense vs Bahia stats

Match statistics
34%Possession66%
3On target4
7Shots15
3Corners5
16Fouls9
2Offsides0
3Saves0
2Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Bahia win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

ChapecoenseLLDDD

Chapecoense's last matches
08/08Coritiba 2x1 Chapecoense
08/05Cruzeiro 2x0 Chapecoense
08/02Chapecoense 0x0 Cruzeiro
07/28Chapecoense 0x0 Vasco da Gama
07/25Santos 2x2 Chapecoense

BahiaDDDDW

Bahia's last matches
08/09Bahia 0x0 Vasco da Gama
07/29Fluminense 0x0 Bahia
07/26Bahia 1x1 Corinthians
07/21Atlético Mineiro 1x1 Bahia
07/17Bahia 2x0 Chapecoense

Head-to-head

Last matches between Chapecoense and Bahia
07/17/2026Bahia 2x0 Chapecoense

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 23

Frequently asked questions about Chapecoense vs Bahia

What was the score of Chapecoense vs Bahia?
Chapecoense 3 x 3 Bahia, Sunday, August 16, at Arena Condá, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Bahia?
The model pointed to a Bahia win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Chapecoense vs Bahia?
Bahia had more of the ball (66% possession), shots were 7 to 15, and corners were 3 to 5.
How did Chapecoense and Bahia arrive for this match?
Chapecoense arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Bahia arrived with 1 win and 4 draws in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Bahia 2 x 0 Chapecoense.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.