Corinthians 1 x 2 Cruzeiro: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 23

Corinthians

Corinthians

Home

1 × 2

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

Away

Arena Corinthians

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Corinthians win37.6%
Draw42.3%
Cruzeiro win20.1%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals29.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Cruzeiro beat Corinthians 2 to 1 away from home, Sunday, August 16, at Arena Corinthians and in the Série A 2026.

Corinthians had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 11 to 9, and corners were 3 to 8.

Corinthians arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Cruzeiro arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).

In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Corinthians, 1 for Cruzeiro and 2 draws.

Corinthians vs Cruzeiro stats

Match statistics
53%Possession47%
6On target6
11Shots9
3Corners8
16Fouls14
0Offsides3
4Saves5
1Yellow cards4

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CorinthiansDWWLD

Corinthians's last matches
08/13Rosario Central 0x0 Corinthians
08/09Bragantino 0x2 Corinthians
08/06Corinthians 2x1 Internacional
08/02Internacional 2x0 Corinthians
07/30Corinthians 0x0 Athletico PR

CruzeiroDWWDW

Cruzeiro's last matches
08/12Cruzeiro 1x1 Flamengo
08/09Cruzeiro 3x1 Mirassol
08/05Cruzeiro 2x0 Chapecoense
08/02Chapecoense 0x0 Cruzeiro
07/30Coritiba 0x1 Cruzeiro

Head-to-head

Last matches between Corinthians and Cruzeiro
02/25/2026Cruzeiro 1x1 Corinthians
12/14/2025Corinthians 1x2 Cruzeiro
12/10/2025Cruzeiro 0x1 Corinthians
07/23/2025Corinthians 0x0 Cruzeiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 23

Frequently asked questions about Corinthians vs Cruzeiro

What was the score of Corinthians vs Cruzeiro?
Corinthians 1 x 2 Cruzeiro, Sunday, August 16, at Arena Corinthians, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Corinthians vs Cruzeiro?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Corinthians vs Cruzeiro?
Corinthians had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 11 to 9, and corners were 3 to 8.
How did Corinthians and Cruzeiro arrive for this match?
Corinthians arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Cruzeiro arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 4 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Corinthians, 1 for Cruzeiro and 2 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.