What was the score of Fluminense vs Palmeiras?

Fluminense 3 x 2 Palmeiras, Saturday, August 15, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, in the Série A 2026.

Fluminense 3 x 2 Palmeiras: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 23

Fluminense

Home

3 × 2

Palmeiras

Away

Saturday, August 15 · 04:30 PMEstadio Jornalista Mário Filho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Fluminense win22.4%

Draw44.1%

Palmeiras win33.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals35.2%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Fluminense beat Palmeiras 3 to 2 at home, Saturday, August 15, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho and in the Série A 2026.

Fluminense had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 14 to 12, and corners were 5 to 5.

Fluminense arrived with 4 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Palmeiras arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Palmeiras 2 x 1 Fluminense.

Match statistics

60%Possession40%

6On target6

14Shots12

5Corners5

16Fouls17

0Offsides1

4Saves3

4Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

FluminenseDDLDD

Fluminense's last matches
08/11	Fluminense 0x0 Independiente Rivadavia
08/08	Botafogo 1x1 Fluminense
08/05	Fluminense 1x3 Vasco da Gama
08/01	Vasco da Gama 0x0 Fluminense
07/29	Fluminense 0x0 Bahia

PalmeirasDDLWW

Palmeiras's last matches
08/12	Palmeiras 1x1 Cerro Porteño
08/09	Palmeiras 0x0 Internacional
08/05	Fortaleza 3x2 Palmeiras
08/02	Palmeiras 3x0 Fortaleza
07/29	Vitória 0x4 Palmeiras

Head-to-head

Last matches between Fluminense and Palmeiras
02/25/2026	Palmeiras 2x1 Fluminense

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 23

Frequently asked questions about Fluminense vs Palmeiras

What was the score of Fluminense vs Palmeiras?: Fluminense 3 x 2 Palmeiras, Saturday, August 15, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Fluminense vs Palmeiras?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Fluminense vs Palmeiras?: Fluminense had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 14 to 12, and corners were 5 to 5.
How did Fluminense and Palmeiras arrive for this match?: Fluminense arrived with 4 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points). Palmeiras arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Palmeiras 2 x 1 Fluminense.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.