What was the score of Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio?

Atlético Mineiro 3 x 0 Grêmio, Sunday, August 16, at Arena MRV, in the Série A 2026.

Atlético Mineiro 3 x 0 Grêmio: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 23

Atlético Mineiro

Home

3 × 0

Grêmio

Away

Sunday, August 16 · 04:00 PMArena MRV

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Atlético Mineiro win41.5%

Draw40.6%

Grêmio win17.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals30.5%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Atlético Mineiro beat Grêmio 3 to 0 at home, Sunday, August 16, at Arena MRV and in the Série A 2026.

Atlético Mineiro had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 11 to 5, and corners were 8 to 6.

Atlético Mineiro arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Grêmio arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Grêmio 2 x 1 Atlético Mineiro.

Match statistics

51%Possession49%

5On target1

11Shots5

8Corners6

14Fouls11

0Offsides2

1Saves2

3Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Atlético Mineiro win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Atlético MineiroDWDWD

Atlético Mineiro's last matches
08/08	Remo 2x2 Atlético Mineiro
08/04	Juventude 0x1 Atlético Mineiro
08/01	Atlético Mineiro 0x0 Juventude
07/26	Palmeiras 1x2 Atlético Mineiro
07/21	Atlético Mineiro 1x1 Bahia

GrêmioWWDDL

Grêmio's last matches
08/08	Grêmio 2x1 São Paulo
08/05	Grêmio 1x0 Mirassol
08/02	Mirassol 1x1 Grêmio
07/26	Grêmio 1x1 Fluminense
07/17	Mirassol 2x1 Grêmio

Head-to-head

Last matches between Atlético Mineiro and Grêmio
02/25/2026	Grêmio 2x1 Atlético Mineiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 23

Frequently asked questions about Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio

What was the score of Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio?: Atlético Mineiro 3 x 0 Grêmio, Sunday, August 16, at Arena MRV, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio?: The model pointed to a Atlético Mineiro win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Atlético Mineiro vs Grêmio?: Atlético Mineiro had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 11 to 5, and corners were 8 to 6.
How did Atlético Mineiro and Grêmio arrive for this match?: Atlético Mineiro arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Grêmio arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Grêmio 2 x 1 Atlético Mineiro.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.