Mirassol 1 x 5 Flamengo: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 23

Mirassol

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1 × 5

Flamengo

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Sunday, August 16 · 06:30 PMEstádio José Maria de Campos Maia

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Mirassol win16.9%

Draw41.0%

Flamengo win42.2%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals42.5%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Flamengo beat Mirassol 5 to 1 away from home, Sunday, August 16, at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia and in the Série A 2026.

Flamengo had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 13 to 10, and corners were 4 to 3.

Mirassol arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Flamengo arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Flamengo 2 x 1 Mirassol.

Match statistics

44%Possession56%

5On target8

13Shots10

4Corners3

12Fouls4

4Offsides1

3Saves3

3Yellow cards0

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Flamengo win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

MirassolDLLDW

Mirassol's last matches
08/13	Mirassol 1x1 LDU Quito
08/09	Cruzeiro 3x1 Mirassol
08/05	Grêmio 1x0 Mirassol
08/02	Mirassol 1x1 Grêmio
07/29	Mirassol 2x1 Remo

FlamengoDWDDW

Flamengo's last matches
08/12	Cruzeiro 1x1 Flamengo
08/09	Flamengo 2x0 Vitória
07/29	Internacional 1x1 Flamengo
07/26	Flamengo 1x1 São Paulo
07/22	Chapecoense 0x4 Flamengo

Head-to-head

Last matches between Mirassol and Flamengo
08/09/2025	Flamengo 2x1 Mirassol

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 23

Frequently asked questions about Mirassol vs Flamengo

What was the score of Mirassol vs Flamengo?: Mirassol 1 x 5 Flamengo, Sunday, August 16, at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Mirassol vs Flamengo?: The model pointed to a Flamengo win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Mirassol vs Flamengo?: Flamengo had more of the ball (56% possession), shots were 13 to 10, and corners were 4 to 3.
How did Mirassol and Flamengo arrive for this match?: Mirassol arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Flamengo arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Flamengo 2 x 1 Mirassol.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.