Athletico PR 1 x 1 Bragantino: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 23

Athletico PR

Athletico PR

Home

1 × 1

Bragantino

Bragantino

Away

Arena de Baixada

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Athletico PR win40.1%
Draw42.5%
Bragantino win17.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals20.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Athletico PR and Bragantino drew 1 to 1, Saturday, August 15, at Arena de Baixada and in the Série A 2026.

Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 18 to 14, and corners were 8 to 5.

Athletico PR arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Bragantino arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Athletico PR, 0 for Bragantino and 1 draw.

Athletico PR vs Bragantino stats

Match statistics
50%Possession50%
7On target5
18Shots14
8Corners5
7Fouls8
2Offsides0
4Saves6
0Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Athletico PRWLWDW

Athletico PR's last matches
08/09Santos 0x2 Athletico PR
08/06Vitória 4x0 Athletico PR
08/03Athletico PR 2x0 Vitória
07/30Corinthians 0x0 Athletico PR
07/25Athletico PR 2x0 Internacional

BragantinoLDDWW

Bragantino's last matches
08/09Bragantino 0x2 Corinthians
07/26Bragantino 0x0 Coritiba
07/17Fluminense 1x1 Bragantino
05/31Bragantino 3x1 Internacional
05/24Vasco da Gama 0x3 Bragantino

Head-to-head

Last matches between Athletico PR and Bragantino
02/25/2026Bragantino 1x1 Athletico PR
08/07/2024Bragantino 2x3 Athletico PR
07/31/2024Athletico PR 2x0 Bragantino

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 23

Frequently asked questions about Athletico PR vs Bragantino

What was the score of Athletico PR vs Bragantino?
Athletico PR 1 x 1 Bragantino, Saturday, August 15, at Arena de Baixada, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Athletico PR vs Bragantino?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Athletico PR vs Bragantino?
Possession was split (50% to 50%), shots were 18 to 14, and corners were 8 to 5.
How did Athletico PR and Bragantino arrive for this match?
Athletico PR arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Bragantino arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Athletico PR, 0 for Bragantino and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.