Vitória 0 x 2 Bahia: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 24

Vitória

Vitória

Home

0 × 2

Bahia

Bahia

Away

Estádio Manoel Barradas

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vitória win33.8%
Draw40.9%
Bahia win25.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals29.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Bahia beat Vitória 2 to 0 away from home, Sunday, August 23, at Estádio Manoel Barradas and in the Série A 2026.

Bahia had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 10 to 22, and corners were 7 to 7.

Vitória arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Bahia arrived with 5 draws in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Vitória, 0 for Bahia and 1 draw.

Vitória vs Bahia stats

Match statistics
47%Possession53%
2On target9
10Shots22
7Corners7
13Fouls10
1Offsides1
6Saves2
4Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

VitóriaWLWLL

Vitória's last matches
08/16Vitória 1x0 Botafogo
08/09Flamengo 2x0 Vitória
08/06Vitória 4x0 Athletico PR
08/03Athletico PR 2x0 Vitória
07/29Vitória 0x4 Palmeiras

BahiaDDDDD

Bahia's last matches
08/16Chapecoense 3x3 Bahia
08/09Bahia 0x0 Vasco da Gama
07/29Fluminense 0x0 Bahia
07/26Bahia 1x1 Corinthians
07/21Atlético Mineiro 1x1 Bahia

Head-to-head

Last matches between Vitória and Bahia
03/11/2026Bahia 1x1 Vitória
10/16/2025Vitória 2x1 Bahia

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 24

Frequently asked questions about Vitória vs Bahia

What was the score of Vitória vs Bahia?
Vitória 0 x 2 Bahia, Sunday, August 23, at Estádio Manoel Barradas, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Vitória vs Bahia?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Vitória vs Bahia?
Bahia had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 10 to 22, and corners were 7 to 7.
How did Vitória and Bahia arrive for this match?
Vitória arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Bahia arrived with 5 draws in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Vitória, 0 for Bahia and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.