Coritiba 2 x 1 Corinthians: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 24

Coritiba

Home

2 × 1

Corinthians

Away

Sunday, August 23 · 07:30 PMEstádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Coritiba win31.9%

Draw45.3%

Corinthians win22.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals26.5%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Coritiba beat Corinthians 2 to 1 at home, Sunday, August 23, at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira and in the Série A 2026.

Corinthians had more of the ball (65% possession), shots were 10 to 9, and corners were 4 to 14.

Coritiba arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Corinthians arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Corinthians 0 x 2 Coritiba.

Match statistics

35%Possession65%

3On target3

10Shots9

4Corners14

8Fouls9

5Offsides1

2Saves1

2Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CoritibaDWLDL

Coritiba's last matches
08/15	São Paulo 1x1 Coritiba
08/08	Coritiba 2x1 Chapecoense
07/30	Coritiba 0x1 Cruzeiro
07/26	Bragantino 0x0 Coritiba
07/22	Coritiba 1x3 Palmeiras

CorinthiansWLDWW

Corinthians's last matches
08/20	Corinthians 1x0 Rosario Central
08/16	Corinthians 1x2 Cruzeiro
08/13	Rosario Central 0x0 Corinthians
08/09	Bragantino 0x2 Corinthians
08/06	Corinthians 2x1 Internacional

Head-to-head

Last matches between Coritiba and Corinthians
03/11/2026	Corinthians 0x2 Coritiba

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Create free account I already have an account

Other matches in round 24

Frequently asked questions about Coritiba vs Corinthians

What was the score of Coritiba vs Corinthians?: Coritiba 2 x 1 Corinthians, Sunday, August 23, at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Corinthians?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Coritiba vs Corinthians?: Corinthians had more of the ball (65% possession), shots were 10 to 9, and corners were 4 to 14.
How did Coritiba and Corinthians arrive for this match?: Coritiba arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Corinthians arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Corinthians 0 x 2 Coritiba.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.