Palmeiras 4 x 1 Vasco da Gama: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 24

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

Home

4 × 1

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

Away

Allianz Parque

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Palmeiras win59.2%
Draw32.7%
Vasco da Gama win8.1%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals47.4%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Palmeiras beat Vasco da Gama 4 to 1 at home, Sunday, August 23, at Allianz Parque and in the Série A 2026.

Palmeiras had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 9 to 9, and corners were 5 to 3.

Palmeiras arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Vasco da Gama arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Vasco da Gama 2 x 1 Palmeiras.

Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama stats

Match statistics
57%Possession43%
5On target4
9Shots9
5Corners3
8Fouls21
1Offsides2
3Saves1
1Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Palmeiras win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

PalmeirasWLDDL

Palmeiras's last matches
08/19Cerro Porteño 0x1 Palmeiras
08/15Fluminense 3x2 Palmeiras
08/12Palmeiras 1x1 Cerro Porteño
08/09Palmeiras 0x0 Internacional
08/05Fortaleza 3x2 Palmeiras

Vasco da GamaLDWDD

Vasco da Gama's last matches
08/16Vasco da Gama 0x3 Santos
08/09Bahia 0x0 Vasco da Gama
08/05Fluminense 1x3 Vasco da Gama
08/01Vasco da Gama 0x0 Fluminense
07/28Chapecoense 0x0 Vasco da Gama

Head-to-head

Last matches between Palmeiras and Vasco da Gama
03/12/2026Vasco da Gama 2x1 Palmeiras

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 24

Frequently asked questions about Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama

What was the score of Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama?
Palmeiras 4 x 1 Vasco da Gama, Sunday, August 23, at Allianz Parque, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama?
The model pointed to a Palmeiras win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Palmeiras vs Vasco da Gama?
Palmeiras had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 9 to 9, and corners were 5 to 3.
How did Palmeiras and Vasco da Gama arrive for this match?
Palmeiras arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points). Vasco da Gama arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Vasco da Gama 2 x 1 Palmeiras.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.