Cruzeiro 2 x 1 Flamengo: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 24

Cruzeiro

Home

2 × 1

Flamengo

Away

Saturday, August 22 · 08:30 PMEstádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Cruzeiro win22.2%

Draw43.4%

Flamengo win34.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals45.4%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Cruzeiro beat Flamengo 2 to 1 at home, Saturday, August 22, at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto and in the Série A 2026.

Flamengo had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 18 to 9, and corners were 3 to 3.

Cruzeiro arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Flamengo arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Cruzeiro, 2 for Flamengo and 1 draw.

Match statistics

48%Possession52%

6On target3

18Shots9

3Corners3

13Fouls7

1Offsides0

2Saves4

3Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CruzeiroLWDWW

Cruzeiro's last matches
08/19	Flamengo 2x1 Cruzeiro
08/16	Corinthians 1x2 Cruzeiro
08/12	Cruzeiro 1x1 Flamengo
08/09	Cruzeiro 3x1 Mirassol
08/05	Cruzeiro 2x0 Chapecoense

FlamengoWWDWD

Flamengo's last matches
08/19	Flamengo 2x1 Cruzeiro
08/16	Mirassol 1x5 Flamengo
08/12	Cruzeiro 1x1 Flamengo
08/09	Flamengo 2x0 Vitória
07/29	Internacional 1x1 Flamengo

Head-to-head

Last matches between Cruzeiro and Flamengo
08/19/2026	Flamengo 2x1 Cruzeiro
08/12/2026	Cruzeiro 1x1 Flamengo
03/11/2026	Flamengo 2x0 Cruzeiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 24

Frequently asked questions about Cruzeiro vs Flamengo

What was the score of Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?: Cruzeiro 2 x 1 Flamengo, Saturday, August 22, at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Cruzeiro vs Flamengo?: Flamengo had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 18 to 9, and corners were 3 to 3.
How did Cruzeiro and Flamengo arrive for this match?: Cruzeiro arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Flamengo arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Cruzeiro, 2 for Flamengo and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.