Santos 1 x 1 Mirassol: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 24

Santos

Santos

Home

1 × 1

Mirassol

Mirassol

Away

Estádio Urbano Caldeira

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Santos win42.1%
Draw39.3%
Mirassol win18.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals46.5%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Santos and Mirassol drew 1 to 1, Sunday, August 23, at Estádio Urbano Caldeira and in the Série A 2026.

Santos had more of the ball (64% possession), shots were 14 to 5, and corners were 10 to 2.

Santos arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Mirassol arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Mirassol 2 x 2 Santos.

Santos vs Mirassol stats

Match statistics
64%Possession36%
7On target3
14Shots5
10Corners2
9Fouls13
2Saves6
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Santos win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

SantosWLWDD

Santos's last matches
08/16Vasco da Gama 0x3 Santos
08/09Santos 0x2 Athletico PR
08/04Remo 0x1 Santos
08/01Santos 0x0 Remo
07/25Santos 2x2 Chapecoense

MirassolDLDLL

Mirassol's last matches
08/20LDU Quito 0x0 Mirassol
08/16Mirassol 1x5 Flamengo
08/13Mirassol 1x1 LDU Quito
08/09Cruzeiro 3x1 Mirassol
08/05Grêmio 1x0 Mirassol

Head-to-head

Last matches between Santos and Mirassol
03/10/2026Mirassol 2x2 Santos

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 24

Frequently asked questions about Santos vs Mirassol

What was the score of Santos vs Mirassol?
Santos 1 x 1 Mirassol, Sunday, August 23, at Estádio Urbano Caldeira, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Santos vs Mirassol?
The model pointed to a Santos win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Santos vs Mirassol?
Santos had more of the ball (64% possession), shots were 14 to 5, and corners were 10 to 2.
How did Santos and Mirassol arrive for this match?
Santos arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Mirassol arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Mirassol 2 x 2 Santos.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.