Chapecoense 1 x 0 São Paulo: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 24

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

Home

1 × 0

São Paulo

São Paulo

Away

Arena Condá

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Chapecoense win20.6%
Draw43.1%
São Paulo win36.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals32.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Chapecoense beat São Paulo 1 to 0 at home, Sunday, August 23, at Arena Condá and in the Série A 2026.

São Paulo had more of the ball (77% possession), shots were 6 to 15, and corners were 7 to 3.

Chapecoense arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). São Paulo arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended São Paulo 2 x 0 Chapecoense.

Chapecoense vs São Paulo stats

Match statistics
23%Possession77%
4On target5
6Shots15
7Corners3
17Fouls7
0Offsides2
5Saves3
4Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

ChapecoenseDLLDD

Chapecoense's last matches
08/16Chapecoense 3x3 Bahia
08/08Coritiba 2x1 Chapecoense
08/05Cruzeiro 2x0 Chapecoense
08/02Chapecoense 0x0 Cruzeiro
07/28Chapecoense 0x0 Vasco da Gama

São PauloDLDLL

São Paulo's last matches
08/15São Paulo 1x1 Coritiba
08/08Grêmio 2x1 São Paulo
07/26Flamengo 1x1 São Paulo
07/22São Paulo 1x2 Athletico PR
05/31Remo 1x0 São Paulo

Head-to-head

Last matches between Chapecoense and São Paulo
03/12/2026São Paulo 2x0 Chapecoense

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 24

Frequently asked questions about Chapecoense vs São Paulo

What was the score of Chapecoense vs São Paulo?
Chapecoense 1 x 0 São Paulo, Sunday, August 23, at Arena Condá, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs São Paulo?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Chapecoense vs São Paulo?
São Paulo had more of the ball (77% possession), shots were 6 to 15, and corners were 7 to 3.
How did Chapecoense and São Paulo arrive for this match?
Chapecoense arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). São Paulo arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended São Paulo 2 x 0 Chapecoense.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.