Botafogo 2 x 3 Athletico PR: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 24

Botafogo

Botafogo

Home

2 × 3

Athletico PR

Athletico PR

Away

Estádio Nilton Santos

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Botafogo win28.9%
Draw43.1%
Athletico PR win28.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals39.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Athletico PR beat Botafogo 3 to 2 away from home, Monday, August 24, at Estádio Nilton Santos and in the Série A 2026.

Botafogo had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 23 to 7, and corners were 13 to 2.

Botafogo arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Athletico PR arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Athletico PR 4 x 1 Botafogo.

Botafogo vs Athletico PR stats

Match statistics
55%Possession45%
8On target6
23Shots7
13Corners2
12Fouls9
2Offsides2
3Saves6
2Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

BotafogoLDWDW

Botafogo's last matches
08/16Vitória 1x0 Botafogo
08/08Botafogo 1x1 Fluminense
07/26Cruzeiro 0x1 Botafogo
07/23Botafogo 0x0 Vitória
07/16Botafogo 2x1 Santos

Athletico PRDWLWD

Athletico PR's last matches
08/15Athletico PR 1x1 Bragantino
08/09Santos 0x2 Athletico PR
08/06Vitória 4x0 Athletico PR
08/03Athletico PR 2x0 Vitória
07/30Corinthians 0x0 Athletico PR

Head-to-head

Last matches between Botafogo and Athletico PR
03/29/2026Athletico PR 4x1 Botafogo

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 24

Frequently asked questions about Botafogo vs Athletico PR

What was the score of Botafogo vs Athletico PR?
Botafogo 2 x 3 Athletico PR, Monday, August 24, at Estádio Nilton Santos, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Botafogo vs Athletico PR?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Botafogo vs Athletico PR?
Botafogo had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 23 to 7, and corners were 13 to 2.
How did Botafogo and Athletico PR arrive for this match?
Botafogo arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Athletico PR arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Athletico PR 4 x 1 Botafogo.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.