Vasco da Gama 1 x 1 Mirassol: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 20

Vasco da Gama

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1 × 1

Mirassol

Away

Saturday, July 25 · 08:30 PMEstádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vasco da Gama win37.5%

Draw22.1%

Mirassol win40.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals32.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vasco da Gama and Mirassol drew 1 to 1, Saturday, July 25, at Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama and in the Série A 2026.

Vasco da Gama had more of the ball (58% possession), shots were 10 to 7, and corners were 9 to 5.

Vasco da Gama arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points). Mirassol arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Mirassol 2 x 1 Vasco da Gama.

Match statistics

58%Possession42%

4On target3

10Shots7

9Corners5

12Fouls7

1Offsides0

2Saves3

1Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Mirassol win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Vasco da GamaLLLLD

Vasco da Gama's last matches
07/16	Vitória 1x0 Vasco da Gama
05/31	Vasco da Gama 0x1 Atlético Mineiro
05/24	Vasco da Gama 0x3 Bragantino
05/16	Internacional 4x1 Vasco da Gama
05/13	Vasco da Gama 2x2 Paysandu

MirassolWLLWW

Mirassol's last matches
07/17	Mirassol 2x1 Grêmio
05/30	Athletico PR 1x0 Mirassol
05/26	Lanús 1x0 Mirassol
05/23	Mirassol 1x0 Fluminense
05/19	Always Ready 1x2 Mirassol

Head-to-head

Last matches between Vasco da Gama and Mirassol
01/29/2026	Mirassol 2x1 Vasco da Gama

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 20

Frequently asked questions about Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol

What was the score of Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol?: Vasco da Gama 1 x 1 Mirassol, Saturday, July 25, at Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol?: The model pointed to a Mirassol win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Vasco da Gama vs Mirassol?: Vasco da Gama had more of the ball (58% possession), shots were 10 to 7, and corners were 9 to 5.
How did Vasco da Gama and Mirassol arrive for this match?: Vasco da Gama arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points). Mirassol arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Mirassol 2 x 1 Vasco da Gama.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.