Cruzeiro 0 x 1 Botafogo: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 20

Cruzeiro

Home

0 × 1

Botafogo

Away

Sunday, July 26 · 04:00 PMEstádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Cruzeiro win37.9%

Draw19.8%

Botafogo win42.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals55.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Botafogo beat Cruzeiro 1 to 0 away from home, Sunday, July 26, at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto and in the Série A 2026.

Cruzeiro had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 10 to 6, and corners were 9 to 1.

Cruzeiro arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points). Botafogo arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Botafogo 4 x 0 Cruzeiro.

Match statistics

62%Possession38%

6On target4

10Shots6

9Corners1

14Fouls18

2Offsides0

3Saves6

4Yellow cards5

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Botafogo win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CruzeiroWDWWD

Cruzeiro's last matches
07/22	Internacional 1x2 Cruzeiro
05/31	Cruzeiro 1x1 Fluminense
05/28	Cruzeiro 4x0 Barcelona Guayaquil
05/24	Cruzeiro 2x1 Chapecoense
05/19	Boca Juniors 1x1 Cruzeiro

BotafogoDWLDW

Botafogo's last matches
07/23	Botafogo 0x0 Vitória
07/16	Botafogo 2x1 Santos
05/30	Bahia 2x1 Botafogo
05/23	São Paulo 1x1 Botafogo
05/17	Botafogo 3x1 Corinthians

Head-to-head

Last matches between Cruzeiro and Botafogo
01/29/2026	Botafogo 4x0 Cruzeiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 20

Frequently asked questions about Cruzeiro vs Botafogo

What was the score of Cruzeiro vs Botafogo?: Cruzeiro 0 x 1 Botafogo, Sunday, July 26, at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Cruzeiro vs Botafogo?: The model pointed to a Botafogo win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Cruzeiro vs Botafogo?: Cruzeiro had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 10 to 6, and corners were 9 to 1.
How did Cruzeiro and Botafogo arrive for this match?: Cruzeiro arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points). Botafogo arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Botafogo 4 x 0 Cruzeiro.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.