What was the score of Grêmio vs Fluminense?

Grêmio 1 x 1 Fluminense, Sunday, July 26, at Arena do Grêmio, in the Série A 2026.

Grêmio 1 x 1 Fluminense: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 20

Grêmio

Home

1 × 1

Fluminense

Away

Sunday, July 26 · 06:30 PMArena do Grêmio

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Grêmio win28.4%

Draw24.1%

Fluminense win47.4%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals35.3%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Grêmio and Fluminense drew 1 to 1, Sunday, July 26, at Arena do Grêmio and in the Série A 2026.

Grêmio had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 7 to 6, and corners were 9 to 2.

Grêmio arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Fluminense arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Grêmio, 2 for Fluminense and 0 draws.

Match statistics

51%Possession49%

5On target3

7Shots6

9Corners2

12Fouls9

1Offsides2

2Saves4

2Yellow cards4

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Fluminense win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

GrêmioLLWDW

Grêmio's last matches
07/17	Mirassol 2x1 Grêmio
05/30	Grêmio 1x3 Corinthians
05/23	Grêmio 3x2 Santos
05/17	Bahia 1x1 Grêmio
05/14	Confiança 0x3 Grêmio

FluminenseDDWLW

Fluminense's last matches
07/17	Fluminense 1x1 Bragantino
05/31	Cruzeiro 1x1 Fluminense
05/27	Fluminense 3x1 Deportivo La Guaira
05/23	Mirassol 1x0 Fluminense
05/19	Fluminense 2x1 Club Bolívar

Head-to-head

Last matches between Grêmio and Fluminense
01/28/2026	Fluminense 2x1 Grêmio
08/20/2024	Fluminense 2x1 Grêmio
08/13/2024	Grêmio 2x1 Fluminense

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 20

Frequently asked questions about Grêmio vs Fluminense

What was the score of Grêmio vs Fluminense?: Grêmio 1 x 1 Fluminense, Sunday, July 26, at Arena do Grêmio, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Grêmio vs Fluminense?: The model pointed to a Fluminense win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Grêmio vs Fluminense?: Grêmio had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 7 to 6, and corners were 9 to 2.
How did Grêmio and Fluminense arrive for this match?: Grêmio arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Fluminense arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Grêmio, 2 for Fluminense and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.