Flamengo 1 x 1 São Paulo: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 20

Flamengo

Flamengo

Home

1 × 1

São Paulo

São Paulo

Away

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Flamengo win72.1%
Draw14.4%
São Paulo win13.6%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals36.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Flamengo and São Paulo drew 1 to 1, Sunday, July 26, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho and in the Série A 2026.

Flamengo had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 18 to 3, and corners were 5 to 2.

Flamengo arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points). São Paulo arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Flamengo, 1 for São Paulo and 0 draws.

Flamengo vs São Paulo stats

Match statistics
54%Possession46%
6On target1
18Shots3
5Corners2
15Fouls19
2Offsides2
0Saves5
1Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Flamengo win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

FlamengoWWWLW

Flamengo's last matches
07/22Chapecoense 0x4 Flamengo
05/30Flamengo 3x0 Coritiba
05/26Flamengo 3x0 Cusco FC
05/23Flamengo 0x3 Palmeiras
05/20Flamengo 1x0 Estudiantes

São PauloLLDLL

São Paulo's last matches
07/22São Paulo 1x2 Athletico PR
05/31Remo 1x0 São Paulo
05/23São Paulo 1x1 Botafogo
05/16Fluminense 2x1 São Paulo
05/13Juventude 3x1 São Paulo

Head-to-head

Last matches between Flamengo and São Paulo
01/28/2026São Paulo 2x1 Flamengo
07/12/2025Flamengo 2x0 São Paulo

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 20

Frequently asked questions about Flamengo vs São Paulo

What was the score of Flamengo vs São Paulo?
Flamengo 1 x 1 São Paulo, Sunday, July 26, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Flamengo vs São Paulo?
The model pointed to a Flamengo win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Flamengo vs São Paulo?
Flamengo had more of the ball (54% possession), shots were 18 to 3, and corners were 5 to 2.
How did Flamengo and São Paulo arrive for this match?
Flamengo arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points). São Paulo arrived with 1 draw and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (1 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Flamengo, 1 for São Paulo and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.