Santos 2 x 2 Chapecoense: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 20

Santos

Santos

Home

2 × 2

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

Away

Estádio Urbano Caldeira

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Santos win53.5%
Draw15.0%
Chapecoense win31.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals58.3%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Santos and Chapecoense drew 2 to 2, Saturday, July 25, at Estádio Urbano Caldeira and in the Série A 2026.

Santos had more of the ball (64% possession), shots were 14 to 4, and corners were 12 to 1.

Santos arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Chapecoense arrived with 5 losses in the last 5 matches (0 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Chapecoense 4 x 2 Santos.

Santos vs Chapecoense stats

Match statistics
64%Possession36%
7On target3
14Shots4
12Corners1
11Fouls13
1Offsides1
2Saves5
3Yellow cards4

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Santos win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

SantosLWLLW

Santos's last matches
07/16Botafogo 2x1 Santos
05/30Santos 3x1 Vitória
05/23Grêmio 3x2 Santos
05/17Santos 0x3 Coritiba
05/13Coritiba 0x2 Santos

ChapecoenseLLLLL

Chapecoense's last matches
07/22Chapecoense 0x4 Flamengo
07/17Bahia 2x0 Chapecoense
05/31Palmeiras 1x0 Chapecoense
05/24Cruzeiro 2x1 Chapecoense
05/17Chapecoense 2x3 Remo

Head-to-head

Last matches between Santos and Chapecoense
01/28/2026Chapecoense 4x2 Santos

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 20

Frequently asked questions about Santos vs Chapecoense

What was the score of Santos vs Chapecoense?
Santos 2 x 2 Chapecoense, Saturday, July 25, at Estádio Urbano Caldeira, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Santos vs Chapecoense?
The model pointed to a Santos win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Santos vs Chapecoense?
Santos had more of the ball (64% possession), shots were 14 to 4, and corners were 12 to 1.
How did Santos and Chapecoense arrive for this match?
Santos arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Chapecoense arrived with 5 losses in the last 5 matches (0 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Chapecoense 4 x 2 Santos.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.