Bahia 1 x 1 Corinthians: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 20

Bahia

Bahia

Home

1 × 1

Corinthians

Corinthians

Away

Arena Fonte Nova

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Bahia win50.2%
Draw28.7%
Corinthians win21.0%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals32.6%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Bahia and Corinthians drew 1 to 1, Sunday, July 26, at Arena Fonte Nova and in the Série A 2026.

Bahia had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 10 to 3, and corners were 7 to 2.

Bahia arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Corinthians arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Bahia, 0 for Corinthians and 1 draw.

Bahia vs Corinthians stats

Match statistics
60%Possession40%
2On target2
10Shots3
7Corners2
17Fouls18
2Offsides1
1Saves1
2Yellow cards5

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Bahia win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

BahiaDWWLD

Bahia's last matches
07/21Atlético Mineiro 1x1 Bahia
07/17Bahia 2x0 Chapecoense
05/30Bahia 2x1 Botafogo
05/25Coritiba 3x2 Bahia
05/17Bahia 1x1 Grêmio

CorinthiansWWLWD

Corinthians's last matches
07/23Corinthians 3x0 Remo
05/30Grêmio 1x3 Corinthians
05/27Corinthians 0x2 Platense
05/24Corinthians 1x0 Atlético Mineiro
05/21Peñarol 1x1 Corinthians

Head-to-head

Last matches between Bahia and Corinthians
01/28/2026Corinthians 1x2 Bahia
08/16/2025Corinthians 1x2 Bahia
03/30/2025Bahia 1x1 Corinthians

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 20

Frequently asked questions about Bahia vs Corinthians

What was the score of Bahia vs Corinthians?
Bahia 1 x 1 Corinthians, Sunday, July 26, at Arena Fonte Nova, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Bahia vs Corinthians?
The model pointed to a Bahia win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Bahia vs Corinthians?
Bahia had more of the ball (60% possession), shots were 10 to 3, and corners were 7 to 2.
How did Bahia and Corinthians arrive for this match?
Bahia arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Corinthians arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Bahia, 0 for Corinthians and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.