Palmeiras 1 x 2 Atlético Mineiro: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 20

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

Home

1 × 2

Atlético Mineiro

Atlético Mineiro

Away

Allianz Parque

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Palmeiras win56.2%
Draw33.5%
Atlético Mineiro win10.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals36.8%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Atlético Mineiro beat Palmeiras 2 to 1 away from home, Sunday, July 26, at Allianz Parque and in the Série A 2026.

Palmeiras had more of the ball (69% possession), shots were 16 to 8, and corners were 10 to 5.

Palmeiras arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points). Atlético Mineiro arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Atlético Mineiro 2 x 2 Palmeiras.

Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro stats

Match statistics
69%Possession31%
6On target4
16Shots8
10Corners5
7Fouls11
2Saves5
0Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Palmeiras win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

PalmeirasWWWWL

Palmeiras's last matches
07/22Coritiba 1x3 Palmeiras
05/31Palmeiras 1x0 Chapecoense
05/28Palmeiras 4x1 Junior FC
05/23Flamengo 0x3 Palmeiras
05/20Palmeiras 0x1 Cerro Porteño

Atlético MineiroDWLWL

Atlético Mineiro's last matches
07/21Atlético Mineiro 1x1 Bahia
05/31Vasco da Gama 0x1 Atlético Mineiro
05/24Corinthians 1x0 Atlético Mineiro
05/16Atlético Mineiro 3x1 Mirassol
05/13Ceará 2x1 Atlético Mineiro

Head-to-head

Last matches between Palmeiras and Atlético Mineiro
01/28/2026Atlético Mineiro 2x2 Palmeiras

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 20

Frequently asked questions about Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro

What was the score of Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro?
Palmeiras 1 x 2 Atlético Mineiro, Sunday, July 26, at Allianz Parque, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro?
The model pointed to a Palmeiras win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro?
Palmeiras had more of the ball (69% possession), shots were 16 to 8, and corners were 10 to 5.
How did Palmeiras and Atlético Mineiro arrive for this match?
Palmeiras arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points). Atlético Mineiro arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Atlético Mineiro 2 x 2 Palmeiras.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.