Vasco da Gama 3 x 1 Cruzeiro: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 25

Vasco da Gama

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3 × 1

Cruzeiro

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Saturday, August 29 · 09:20 PMEstádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Vasco da Gama win24.0%

Draw43.8%

Cruzeiro win32.2%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals38.3%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vasco da Gama beat Cruzeiro 3 to 1 at home, Saturday, August 29, at Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama and in the Série A 2026.

Cruzeiro had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 16 to 7, and corners were 11 to 3.

Vasco da Gama arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Cruzeiro arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Cruzeiro 3 x 3 Vasco da Gama.

Match statistics

45%Possession55%

9On target6

16Shots7

11Corners3

15Fouls12

1Offsides0

5Saves7

2Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Vasco da GamaWLLDW

Vasco da Gama's last matches
08/26	Vasco da Gama 1x0 Vitória
08/23	Palmeiras 4x1 Vasco da Gama
08/16	Vasco da Gama 0x3 Santos
08/09	Bahia 0x0 Vasco da Gama
08/05	Fluminense 1x3 Vasco da Gama

CruzeiroDWLWD

Cruzeiro's last matches
08/25	Cruzeiro 1x1 Atlético Mineiro
08/22	Cruzeiro 2x1 Flamengo
08/19	Flamengo 2x1 Cruzeiro
08/16	Corinthians 1x2 Cruzeiro
08/12	Cruzeiro 1x1 Flamengo

Head-to-head

Last matches between Vasco da Gama and Cruzeiro
03/15/2026	Cruzeiro 3x3 Vasco da Gama

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 25

Frequently asked questions about Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro

What was the score of Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro?: Vasco da Gama 3 x 1 Cruzeiro, Saturday, August 29, at Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro?: Cruzeiro had more of the ball (55% possession), shots were 16 to 7, and corners were 11 to 3.
How did Vasco da Gama and Cruzeiro arrive for this match?: Vasco da Gama arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Cruzeiro arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Cruzeiro 3 x 3 Vasco da Gama.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.