Mirassol 1 x 1 Palmeiras: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 25

Mirassol

Mirassol

Home

1 × 1

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

Away

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Mirassol win15.0%
Draw39.3%
Palmeiras win45.7%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals36.9%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Mirassol and Palmeiras drew 1 to 1, Sunday, August 30, at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia and in the Série A 2026.

Palmeiras had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 10 to 10, and corners were 3 to 4.

Mirassol arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Palmeiras arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Mirassol, 1 for Palmeiras and 1 draw.

Mirassol vs Palmeiras stats

Match statistics
48%Possession52%
5On target3
10Shots10
3Corners4
15Fouls11
2Offsides0
2Saves4
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Palmeiras win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

MirassolDDLDL

Mirassol's last matches
08/23Santos 1x1 Mirassol
08/20LDU Quito 0x0 Mirassol
08/16Mirassol 1x5 Flamengo
08/13Mirassol 1x1 LDU Quito
08/09Cruzeiro 3x1 Mirassol

PalmeirasWWWLD

Palmeiras's last matches
08/26Palmeiras 3x0 Santos
08/23Palmeiras 4x1 Vasco da Gama
08/19Cerro Porteño 0x1 Palmeiras
08/15Fluminense 3x2 Palmeiras
08/12Palmeiras 1x1 Cerro Porteño

Head-to-head

Last matches between Mirassol and Palmeiras
03/15/2026Palmeiras 1x0 Mirassol
07/16/2025Palmeiras 1x1 Mirassol

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 25

Frequently asked questions about Mirassol vs Palmeiras

What was the score of Mirassol vs Palmeiras?
Mirassol 1 x 1 Palmeiras, Sunday, August 30, at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Mirassol vs Palmeiras?
The model pointed to a Palmeiras win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Mirassol vs Palmeiras?
Palmeiras had more of the ball (52% possession), shots were 10 to 10, and corners were 3 to 4.
How did Mirassol and Palmeiras arrive for this match?
Mirassol arrived with 3 draws and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points). Palmeiras arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Mirassol, 1 for Palmeiras and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.