What was the score of Atlético Mineiro vs Vitória?

Atlético Mineiro 2 x 1 Vitória, Saturday, August 29, at Arena MRV, in the Série A 2026.

Atlético Mineiro 2 x 1 Vitória: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 25

Atlético Mineiro

Home

2 × 1

Vitória

Away

Saturday, August 29 · 06:30 PMArena MRV

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Atlético Mineiro win45.7%

Draw38.9%

Vitória win15.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals28.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Atlético Mineiro beat Vitória 2 to 1 at home, Saturday, August 29, at Arena MRV and in the Série A 2026.

Atlético Mineiro had more of the ball (61% possession), shots were 13 to 7, and corners were 4 to 5.

Atlético Mineiro arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Vitória arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Atlético Mineiro, 2 for Vitória and 1 draw.

Match statistics

61%Possession39%

8On target3

13Shots7

4Corners5

12Fouls13

2Offsides0

2Saves6

2Yellow cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Atlético Mineiro win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Atlético MineiroDDWDW

Atlético Mineiro's last matches
08/25	Cruzeiro 1x1 Atlético Mineiro
08/22	Internacional 0x0 Atlético Mineiro
08/16	Atlético Mineiro 3x0 Grêmio
08/08	Remo 2x2 Atlético Mineiro
08/04	Juventude 0x1 Atlético Mineiro

VitóriaLLWLW

Vitória's last matches
08/26	Vasco da Gama 1x0 Vitória
08/23	Vitória 0x2 Bahia
08/16	Vitória 1x0 Botafogo
08/09	Flamengo 2x0 Vitória
08/06	Vitória 4x0 Athletico PR

Head-to-head

Last matches between Atlético Mineiro and Vitória
03/14/2026	Vitória 2x0 Atlético Mineiro
08/31/2025	Vitória 1x0 Atlético Mineiro
04/13/2025	Atlético Mineiro 2x2 Vitória

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 25

Frequently asked questions about Atlético Mineiro vs Vitória

What was the score of Atlético Mineiro vs Vitória?: Atlético Mineiro 2 x 1 Vitória, Saturday, August 29, at Arena MRV, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Atlético Mineiro vs Vitória?: The model pointed to a Atlético Mineiro win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Atlético Mineiro vs Vitória?: Atlético Mineiro had more of the ball (61% possession), shots were 13 to 7, and corners were 4 to 5.
How did Atlético Mineiro and Vitória arrive for this match?: Atlético Mineiro arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). Vitória arrived with 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Atlético Mineiro, 2 for Vitória and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.