Bahia 3 x 2 Internacional: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 25

Bahia

Bahia

Home

3 × 2

Internacional

Internacional

Away

Arena Fonte Nova

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Bahia win45.0%
Draw38.7%
Internacional win16.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals33.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Bahia beat Internacional 3 to 2 at home, Sunday, August 30, at Arena Fonte Nova and in the Série A 2026.

Bahia had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 10 to 11, and corners were 3 to 3.

Bahia arrived with 1 win and 4 draws in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Internacional arrived with 4 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Bahia, 1 for Internacional and 1 draw.

Bahia vs Internacional stats

Match statistics
57%Possession43%
6On target3
10Shots11
3Corners3
10Fouls17
2Offsides1
1Saves4
4Yellow cards2
1Red cards0

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Bahia win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

BahiaWDDDD

Bahia's last matches
08/23Vitória 0x2 Bahia
08/16Chapecoense 3x3 Bahia
08/09Bahia 0x0 Vasco da Gama
07/29Fluminense 0x0 Bahia
07/26Bahia 1x1 Corinthians

InternacionalDDDDL

Internacional's last matches
08/27Internacional 0x0 Grêmio
08/22Internacional 0x0 Atlético Mineiro
08/17Internacional 1x1 Remo
08/09Palmeiras 0x0 Internacional
08/06Corinthians 2x1 Internacional

Head-to-head

Last matches between Bahia and Internacional
03/15/2026Internacional 0x1 Bahia
05/28/2025Internacional 2x1 Bahia
04/03/2025Bahia 1x1 Internacional

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 25

Frequently asked questions about Bahia vs Internacional

What was the score of Bahia vs Internacional?
Bahia 3 x 2 Internacional, Sunday, August 30, at Arena Fonte Nova, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Bahia vs Internacional?
The model pointed to a Bahia win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Bahia vs Internacional?
Bahia had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 10 to 11, and corners were 3 to 3.
How did Bahia and Internacional arrive for this match?
Bahia arrived with 1 win and 4 draws in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Internacional arrived with 4 draws and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Bahia, 1 for Internacional and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.