Grêmio 3 x 1 Chapecoense: stats and analysis
Série A 2026, round 25

Grêmio
Home
3 × 1

Chapecoense
Away
Arena do Grêmio
What the model calculated before the match
Result
Goals
Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.
Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.
Match summary
Grêmio beat Chapecoense 3 to 1 at home, Sunday, August 30, at Arena do Grêmio and in the Série A 2026.
Grêmio had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 7 to 27, and corners were 5 to 7.
Grêmio arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Chapecoense arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).
The only recorded previous meeting ended Chapecoense 1 x 1 Grêmio.
Grêmio vs Chapecoense stats
What the model predicted
Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Grêmio win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work
Recent form before the match
GrêmioDLLWW
| 08/27 | Internacional 0x0 Grêmio |
| 08/23 | Bragantino 1x0 Grêmio |
| 08/16 | Atlético Mineiro 3x0 Grêmio |
| 08/08 | Grêmio 2x1 São Paulo |
| 08/05 | Grêmio 1x0 Mirassol |
ChapecoenseWDLLD
| 08/23 | Chapecoense 1x0 São Paulo |
| 08/16 | Chapecoense 3x3 Bahia |
| 08/08 | Coritiba 2x1 Chapecoense |
| 08/05 | Cruzeiro 2x0 Chapecoense |
| 08/02 | Chapecoense 0x0 Cruzeiro |
Head-to-head
| 03/16/2026 | Chapecoense 1x1 Grêmio |
See the full analysis of this and the next matches
Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.
Other matches in round 25
Frequently asked questions about Grêmio vs Chapecoense
- What was the score of Grêmio vs Chapecoense?
- Grêmio 3 x 1 Chapecoense, Sunday, August 30, at Arena do Grêmio, in the Série A 2026.
- What did the model predict for Grêmio vs Chapecoense?
- The model pointed to a Grêmio win as the most likely result, and got it right.
- What were the match statistics for Grêmio vs Chapecoense?
- Grêmio had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 7 to 27, and corners were 5 to 7.
- How did Grêmio and Chapecoense arrive for this match?
- Grêmio arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Chapecoense arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).
- Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
- The only recorded previous meeting ended Chapecoense 1 x 1 Grêmio.
Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.