Grêmio 3 x 1 Chapecoense: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 25

Grêmio

Grêmio

Home

3 × 1

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

Away

Arena do Grêmio

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Grêmio win49.3%
Draw36.9%
Chapecoense win13.7%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals37.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Grêmio beat Chapecoense 3 to 1 at home, Sunday, August 30, at Arena do Grêmio and in the Série A 2026.

Grêmio had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 7 to 27, and corners were 5 to 7.

Grêmio arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Chapecoense arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Chapecoense 1 x 1 Grêmio.

Grêmio vs Chapecoense stats

Match statistics
53%Possession47%
5On target9
7Shots27
5Corners7
11Fouls10
7Saves2
3Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Grêmio win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

GrêmioDLLWW

Grêmio's last matches
08/27Internacional 0x0 Grêmio
08/23Bragantino 1x0 Grêmio
08/16Atlético Mineiro 3x0 Grêmio
08/08Grêmio 2x1 São Paulo
08/05Grêmio 1x0 Mirassol

ChapecoenseWDLLD

Chapecoense's last matches
08/23Chapecoense 1x0 São Paulo
08/16Chapecoense 3x3 Bahia
08/08Coritiba 2x1 Chapecoense
08/05Cruzeiro 2x0 Chapecoense
08/02Chapecoense 0x0 Cruzeiro

Head-to-head

Last matches between Grêmio and Chapecoense
03/16/2026Chapecoense 1x1 Grêmio

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 25

Frequently asked questions about Grêmio vs Chapecoense

What was the score of Grêmio vs Chapecoense?
Grêmio 3 x 1 Chapecoense, Sunday, August 30, at Arena do Grêmio, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Grêmio vs Chapecoense?
The model pointed to a Grêmio win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Grêmio vs Chapecoense?
Grêmio had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 7 to 27, and corners were 5 to 7.
How did Grêmio and Chapecoense arrive for this match?
Grêmio arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Chapecoense arrived with 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (5 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Chapecoense 1 x 1 Grêmio.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.