Athletico PR 3 x 3 Fluminense: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 25

Athletico PR

Athletico PR

Home

3 × 3

Fluminense

Fluminense

Away

Arena de Baixada

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Athletico PR win40.3%
Draw40.3%
Fluminense win19.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals38.9%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Athletico PR and Fluminense drew 3 to 3, Sunday, August 30, at Arena de Baixada and in the Série A 2026.

Fluminense had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 11 to 9, and corners were 8 to 3.

Athletico PR arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Fluminense arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Fluminense 3 x 2 Athletico PR.

Athletico PR vs Fluminense stats

Match statistics
47%Possession53%
8On target6
11Shots9
8Corners3
15Fouls12
4Offsides0
3Saves5
2Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Athletico PR win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Athletico PRWDWLW

Athletico PR's last matches
08/24Botafogo 2x3 Athletico PR
08/15Athletico PR 1x1 Bragantino
08/09Santos 0x2 Athletico PR
08/06Vitória 4x0 Athletico PR
08/03Athletico PR 2x0 Vitória

FluminenseWDWDD

Fluminense's last matches
08/22Fluminense 2x1 Remo
08/18Independiente Rivadavia 1x1 Fluminense
08/15Fluminense 3x2 Palmeiras
08/11Fluminense 0x0 Independiente Rivadavia
08/08Botafogo 1x1 Fluminense

Head-to-head

Last matches between Athletico PR and Fluminense
03/15/2026Fluminense 3x2 Athletico PR

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 25

Frequently asked questions about Athletico PR vs Fluminense

What was the score of Athletico PR vs Fluminense?
Athletico PR 3 x 3 Fluminense, Sunday, August 30, at Arena de Baixada, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Athletico PR vs Fluminense?
The model pointed to a Athletico PR win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Athletico PR vs Fluminense?
Fluminense had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 11 to 9, and corners were 8 to 3.
How did Athletico PR and Fluminense arrive for this match?
Athletico PR arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Fluminense arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Fluminense 3 x 2 Athletico PR.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.