São Paulo 2 x 1 Bragantino: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 25

São Paulo

São Paulo

Home

2 × 1

Bragantino

Bragantino

Away

Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo

What the model calculated before the match

Result

São Paulo win28.1%
Draw46.9%
Bragantino win25.1%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals20.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

São Paulo beat Bragantino 2 to 1 at home, Saturday, August 29, at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo and in the Série A 2026.

Bragantino had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 12 to 6, and corners were 9 to 7.

São Paulo arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points). Bragantino arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Bragantino 1 x 2 São Paulo.

São Paulo vs Bragantino stats

Match statistics
38%Possession62%
8On target3
12Shots6
9Corners7
11Fouls14
1Offsides2
2Saves6
3Yellow cards4

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

São PauloLDLDL

São Paulo's last matches
08/23Chapecoense 1x0 São Paulo
08/15São Paulo 1x1 Coritiba
08/08Grêmio 2x1 São Paulo
07/26Flamengo 1x1 São Paulo
07/22São Paulo 1x2 Athletico PR

BragantinoWDLDD

Bragantino's last matches
08/23Bragantino 1x0 Grêmio
08/15Athletico PR 1x1 Bragantino
08/09Bragantino 0x2 Corinthians
07/26Bragantino 0x0 Coritiba
07/17Fluminense 1x1 Bragantino

Head-to-head

Last matches between São Paulo and Bragantino
03/15/2026Bragantino 1x2 São Paulo

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 25

Frequently asked questions about São Paulo vs Bragantino

What was the score of São Paulo vs Bragantino?
São Paulo 2 x 1 Bragantino, Saturday, August 29, at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for São Paulo vs Bragantino?
The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for São Paulo vs Bragantino?
Bragantino had more of the ball (62% possession), shots were 12 to 6, and corners were 9 to 7.
How did São Paulo and Bragantino arrive for this match?
São Paulo arrived with 2 draws and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (2 of 15 points). Bragantino arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
The only recorded previous meeting ended Bragantino 1 x 2 São Paulo.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.