Palmeiras 2 x 0 São Paulo: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 27

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

Home

2 × 0

São Paulo

São Paulo

Away

Allianz Parque

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Palmeiras win56.0%
Draw32.9%
São Paulo win11.1%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals27.1%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Palmeiras beat São Paulo 2 to 0 at home, Saturday, September 12, at Allianz Parque and in the Série A 2026.

Palmeiras had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 16 to 4, and corners were 9 to 6.

Palmeiras arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). São Paulo arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Palmeiras, 0 for São Paulo and 0 draws.

Palmeiras vs São Paulo stats

Match statistics
57%Possession43%
7On target2
16Shots4
9Corners6
21Fouls12
3Offsides0
2Saves5
4Yellow cards1
0Red cards1

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Palmeiras win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

PalmeirasWDDDW

Palmeiras's last matches
09/09Palmeiras 1x0 LDU Quito
09/06Botafogo 0x0 Palmeiras
09/02Santos 0x0 Palmeiras
08/30Mirassol 1x1 Palmeiras
08/26Palmeiras 3x0 Santos

São PauloWWLDL

São Paulo's last matches
09/05São Paulo 2x0 Atlético Mineiro
08/29São Paulo 2x1 Bragantino
08/23Chapecoense 1x0 São Paulo
08/15São Paulo 1x1 Coritiba
08/08Grêmio 2x1 São Paulo

Head-to-head

Last matches between Palmeiras and São Paulo
03/21/2026São Paulo 0x1 Palmeiras
05/11/2025Palmeiras 1x0 São Paulo

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 27

Frequently asked questions about Palmeiras vs São Paulo

What was the score of Palmeiras vs São Paulo?
Palmeiras 2 x 0 São Paulo, Saturday, September 12, at Allianz Parque, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Palmeiras vs São Paulo?
The model pointed to a Palmeiras win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Palmeiras vs São Paulo?
Palmeiras had more of the ball (57% possession), shots were 16 to 4, and corners were 9 to 6.
How did Palmeiras and São Paulo arrive for this match?
Palmeiras arrived with 2 wins and 3 draws in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points). São Paulo arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 2 wins for Palmeiras, 0 for São Paulo and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.