What was the score of Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense?

Atlético Mineiro 3 x 1 Fluminense, Saturday, September 12, at Arena MRV, in the Série A 2026.

Atlético Mineiro 3 x 1 Fluminense: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 27

Atlético Mineiro

Home

3 × 1

Fluminense

Away

Saturday, September 12 · 04:00 PMArena MRV

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Atlético Mineiro win34.9%

Draw37.8%

Fluminense win27.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals38.9%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Atlético Mineiro beat Fluminense 3 to 1 at home, Saturday, September 12, at Arena MRV and in the Série A 2026.

Fluminense had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 10 to 9, and corners were 5 to 2.

Atlético Mineiro arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Fluminense arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Atlético Mineiro, 2 for Fluminense and 0 draws.

Match statistics

47%Possession53%

7On target3

10Shots9

5Corners2

8Fouls11

2Offsides0

1Saves5

1Yellow cards2

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

Atlético MineiroLWWDD

Atlético Mineiro's last matches
09/05	São Paulo 2x0 Atlético Mineiro
09/01	Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Cruzeiro
08/29	Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Vitória
08/25	Cruzeiro 1x1 Atlético Mineiro
08/22	Internacional 0x0 Atlético Mineiro

FluminenseWWDWD

Fluminense's last matches
09/08	Fluminense 2x0 Platense
09/05	Fluminense 1x0 Vasco da Gama
08/30	Athletico PR 3x3 Fluminense
08/22	Fluminense 2x1 Remo
08/18	Independiente Rivadavia 1x1 Fluminense

Head-to-head

Last matches between Atlético Mineiro and Fluminense
03/21/2026	Fluminense 1x0 Atlético Mineiro
09/25/2024	Atlético Mineiro 2x0 Fluminense
09/18/2024	Fluminense 1x0 Atlético Mineiro

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 27

Frequently asked questions about Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense

What was the score of Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense?: Atlético Mineiro 3 x 1 Fluminense, Saturday, September 12, at Arena MRV, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Atlético Mineiro vs Fluminense?: Fluminense had more of the ball (53% possession), shots were 10 to 9, and corners were 5 to 2.
How did Atlético Mineiro and Fluminense arrive for this match?: Atlético Mineiro arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points). Fluminense arrived with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches (11 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Atlético Mineiro, 2 for Fluminense and 0 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.