What was the score of Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama?

Grêmio 1 x 2 Vasco da Gama, Saturday, September 12, at Arena do Grêmio, in the Série A 2026.

Grêmio 1 x 2 Vasco da Gama: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 27

Grêmio

Home

1 × 2

Vasco da Gama

Away

Saturday, September 12 · 04:00 PMArena do Grêmio

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Grêmio win45.6%

Draw33.5%

Vasco da Gama win20.9%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals30.7%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Vasco da Gama beat Grêmio 2 to 1 away from home, Saturday, September 12, at Arena do Grêmio and in the Série A 2026.

Grêmio had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 10 to 10, and corners were 3 to 5.

Grêmio arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Vasco da Gama arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).

In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Grêmio, 1 for Vasco da Gama and 1 draw.

Match statistics

51%Possession49%

4On target5

10Shots10

3Corners5

10Fouls14

0Offsides1

3Saves3

3Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Grêmio win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

GrêmioLWWDL

Grêmio's last matches
09/07	Vitória 1x0 Grêmio
09/03	Grêmio 3x1 Internacional
08/30	Grêmio 3x1 Chapecoense
08/27	Internacional 0x0 Grêmio
08/23	Bragantino 1x0 Grêmio

Vasco da GamaLWWWL

Vasco da Gama's last matches
09/05	Fluminense 1x0 Vasco da Gama
09/02	Vitória 0x2 Vasco da Gama
08/29	Vasco da Gama 3x1 Cruzeiro
08/26	Vasco da Gama 1x0 Vitória
08/23	Palmeiras 4x1 Vasco da Gama

Head-to-head

Last matches between Grêmio and Vasco da Gama
03/22/2026	Vasco da Gama 2x1 Grêmio
07/19/2025	Vasco da Gama 1x1 Grêmio

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 27

Frequently asked questions about Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama

What was the score of Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama?: Grêmio 1 x 2 Vasco da Gama, Saturday, September 12, at Arena do Grêmio, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama?: The model pointed to a Grêmio win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Grêmio vs Vasco da Gama?: Grêmio had more of the ball (51% possession), shots were 10 to 10, and corners were 3 to 5.
How did Grêmio and Vasco da Gama arrive for this match?: Grêmio arrived with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (7 of 15 points). Vasco da Gama arrived with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches (9 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: In the 2 recorded previous meetings, there were 0 wins for Grêmio, 1 for Vasco da Gama and 1 draw.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.