Coritiba 3 x 3 Athletico PR: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 27

Coritiba

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3 × 3

Athletico PR

Away

Friday, September 11 · 09:00 PMEstádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Coritiba win30.9%

Draw38.3%

Athletico PR win30.8%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals31.5%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Coritiba and Athletico PR drew 3 to 3, Friday, September 11, at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira and in the Série A 2026.

Coritiba had more of the ball (61% possession), shots were 14 to 9, and corners were 8 to 3.

Coritiba arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Athletico PR arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Athletico PR 2 x 0 Coritiba.

Match statistics

61%Possession39%

7On target5

14Shots9

8Corners3

15Fouls23

1Offsides0

1Saves2

3Yellow cards4

1Red cards0

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

CoritibaLWWDW

Coritiba's last matches
09/06	Coritiba 1x2 Mirassol
08/31	Remo 2x3 Coritiba
08/23	Coritiba 2x1 Corinthians
08/15	São Paulo 1x1 Coritiba
08/08	Coritiba 2x1 Chapecoense

Athletico PRLDWDW

Athletico PR's last matches
09/06	Cruzeiro 3x1 Athletico PR
08/30	Athletico PR 3x3 Fluminense
08/24	Botafogo 2x3 Athletico PR
08/15	Athletico PR 1x1 Bragantino
08/09	Santos 0x2 Athletico PR

Head-to-head

Last matches between Coritiba and Athletico PR
03/22/2026	Athletico PR 2x0 Coritiba

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 27

Frequently asked questions about Coritiba vs Athletico PR

What was the score of Coritiba vs Athletico PR?: Coritiba 3 x 3 Athletico PR, Friday, September 11, at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Coritiba vs Athletico PR?: The model pointed to a draw as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Coritiba vs Athletico PR?: Coritiba had more of the ball (61% possession), shots were 14 to 9, and corners were 8 to 3.
How did Coritiba and Athletico PR arrive for this match?: Coritiba arrived with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (10 of 15 points). Athletico PR arrived with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (8 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Athletico PR 2 x 0 Coritiba.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.