Flamengo 2 x 1 Corinthians: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 27

Flamengo

Flamengo

Home

2 × 1

Corinthians

Corinthians

Away

Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Flamengo win65.1%
Draw24.6%
Corinthians win10.3%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals28.0%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Flamengo beat Corinthians 2 to 1 at home, Sunday, September 13, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho and in the Série A 2026.

Flamengo had more of the ball (64% possession), shots were 20 to 2, and corners were 20 to 0.

Flamengo arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points). Corinthians arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).

In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Flamengo, 0 for Corinthians and 2 draws.

Flamengo vs Corinthians stats

Match statistics
64%Possession36%
10On target1
20Shots2
20Corners0
14Fouls9
1Offsides0
0Saves7
4Yellow cards3

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Flamengo win as the most likely result, and got it right. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

FlamengoWWWWL

Flamengo's last matches
09/10Independiente del Valle 0x2 Flamengo
09/06Remo 0x1 Flamengo
09/02Flamengo 2x0 Mirassol
08/30Flamengo 3x0 Botafogo
08/22Cruzeiro 2x1 Flamengo

CorinthiansDLLLW

Corinthians's last matches
09/09Estudiantes 1x1 Corinthians
09/06Corinthians 1x2 Chapecoense
08/30Corinthians 0x1 Santos
08/23Coritiba 2x1 Corinthians
08/20Corinthians 1x0 Rosario Central

Head-to-head

Last matches between Flamengo and Corinthians
03/22/2026Corinthians 1x1 Flamengo
10/20/2024Corinthians 0x0 Flamengo
10/02/2024Flamengo 1x0 Corinthians

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

Other matches in round 27

Frequently asked questions about Flamengo vs Corinthians

What was the score of Flamengo vs Corinthians?
Flamengo 2 x 1 Corinthians, Sunday, September 13, at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Flamengo vs Corinthians?
The model pointed to a Flamengo win as the most likely result, and got it right.
What were the match statistics for Flamengo vs Corinthians?
Flamengo had more of the ball (64% possession), shots were 20 to 2, and corners were 20 to 0.
How did Flamengo and Corinthians arrive for this match?
Flamengo arrived with 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (12 of 15 points). Corinthians arrived with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 matches (4 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?
In the 3 recorded previous meetings, there were 1 win for Flamengo, 0 for Corinthians and 2 draws.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.