Mirassol 2 x 2 Vitória: stats and analysis

Série A 2026, round 27

Mirassol

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2 × 2

Vitória

Away

Sunday, September 13 · 04:00 PMEstádio José Maria de Campos Maia

What the model calculated before the match

Result

Mirassol win37.7%

Draw36.1%

Vitória win26.2%

Goals

Over 2.5 goals26.4%

Both teams to score, corners, cards, handicap and the comparison between the four models are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Probability calculated by statistical models from data available before kick-off. Not a guarantee of a result or betting advice.

Match summary

Mirassol and Vitória drew 2 to 2, Sunday, September 13, at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia and in the Série A 2026.

Mirassol had more of the ball (75% possession), shots were 16 to 7, and corners were 12 to 5.

Mirassol arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Vitória arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).

The only recorded previous meeting ended Vitória 1 x 0 Mirassol.

Match statistics

75%Possession25%

6On target6

16Shots7

12Corners5

14Fouls17

1Offsides2

4Saves4

5Yellow cards5

What the model predicted

Before the match, FUT Análises' ensemble (Dixon-Coles, XGBoost, Elo and Bradley-Terry) pointed to a Mirassol win as the most likely result, and the result was different. How the models work

Probabilities for each outcome, goals (over/under), both teams to score, corners, cards and handicap for this match are in the full analysis, for registered users.

Recent form before the match

MirassolWLDDD

Mirassol's last matches
09/06	Coritiba 1x2 Mirassol
09/02	Flamengo 2x0 Mirassol
08/30	Mirassol 1x1 Palmeiras
08/23	Santos 1x1 Mirassol
08/20	LDU Quito 0x0 Mirassol

VitóriaWLLLL

Vitória's last matches
09/07	Vitória 1x0 Grêmio
09/02	Vitória 0x2 Vasco da Gama
08/29	Atlético Mineiro 2x1 Vitória
08/26	Vasco da Gama 1x0 Vitória
08/23	Vitória 0x2 Bahia

Head-to-head

Last matches between Mirassol and Vitória
03/22/2026	Vitória 1x0 Mirassol

See the full analysis of this and the next matches

Market-by-market probabilities, predicted vs actual comparison and pre-match analyses for the next round.

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Other matches in round 27

Frequently asked questions about Mirassol vs Vitória

What was the score of Mirassol vs Vitória?: Mirassol 2 x 2 Vitória, Sunday, September 13, at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, in the Série A 2026.
What did the model predict for Mirassol vs Vitória?: The model pointed to a Mirassol win as the most likely result, and the result was different.
What were the match statistics for Mirassol vs Vitória?: Mirassol had more of the ball (75% possession), shots were 16 to 7, and corners were 12 to 5.
How did Mirassol and Vitória arrive for this match?: Mirassol arrived with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in the last 5 matches (6 of 15 points). Vitória arrived with 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5 matches (3 of 15 points).
Who had the upper hand in previous meetings?: The only recorded previous meeting ended Vitória 1 x 0 Mirassol.

Statistical and informational content, for ages 18 and up. Predictions are probabilities, not guarantees of a result nor betting advice.